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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
Standard
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,7
This season — Pro League · 17/27 matches
Win Ø 48%
59%
37%
Points per game
2,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
59%
56%
Both score Ø 49%
53%
44%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
7 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 6. · Royal Excel Mouscron 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 27 12 10 5 +14 46
2 Charleroi 27 11 5 11 +0 38
3 Genk 17 11 4 2 +21 37
4 Antwerp 17 12 1 4 +12 37
5 Kortrijk 27 10 7 10 +1 37
6 Standard 17 10 5 2 +17 35
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 27 10 5 12 -1 35
8 Gent 17 10 2 5 +14 32
9 Club Brugge 17 9 4 4 +16 31
10 Anderlecht 17 9 4 4 +11 31
11 Waregem 27 8 7 12 -9 31
12 Eupen 27 9 2 16 -19 29
13 Cercle Brugge 27 7 7 13 -20 28
14 Oostende 27 6 8 13 -20 26
15 Beveren 27 5 10 12 -12 25
16 Lokeren 27 4 5 18 -25 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Royal Excel Mouscron
25′
🔁 Manuel Benson
↦ Mbaye Leye
39′
🟨 Sidney Friede
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Răzvan Marin
Miloš Kosanović
54′
60′
Taiwo Awoniyi 1–1
Selim Amallah
68′
🟨 Bruno Godeau
68′
🟨 Selim Amallah
Alen Halilović 🔁
↦ Renaud Emond
70′
Collins Fai 🟨
77′
Moussa Djenepo 🔁
↦ Maxime Lestienne
81′
Moussa Djenepo 🟨
83′
88′
🔁 Frantzdy Pierrot
↦ Frank Boya
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Standard

4-2-3-1
13 Guillermo Ochoa G
21 Collins Fai D
34 Konstantinos Laifis D
6 Miloš Kosanović D
3 Zinho Vanheusden D
10 Mehdi Carcela-González M
18 Răzvan Marin M
8 Gojko Cimirot M
40 Paul-José Mpoku F
22 Maxime Lestienne M
9 Renaud Emond F
Bench (9)
1 Jean-Francois Gillet
29 Luis Pedro Cavanda
2 Reginal Goreux
11 Alen Halilović
23 Senna Miangue
19 Moussa Djenepo
20 Merveille Bokadi
28 Samuel Bastien
31 William Balikwisha

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-1-2-3
1 Jean Butez G
27 Mergim Vojvoda D
2 Noë Dussenne D
31 Bruno Godeau D
24 Nikola Gulan M
15 Frank Boya M
8 Sidney Friede M
22 Marko Bakić M
18 Mbaye Leye F
14 Taiwo Awoniyi F
10 Selim Amallah M
Bench (7)
90 Vaso Vasic
13 Giorgos Galitsios
3 Nemanja Antonov
21 Manuel Benson
77 Mićo Kuzmanović
7 Fabrice Olinga
23 Frantzdy Pierrot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.