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Pro League

Referee: Jan Boterberg

Genk

T U S S S

1–2

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Pro League · 15/22 matches

Win Ø 45%

67%

23%

Points per game

2,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

60%

50%

Both score Ø 53%

60%

45%

Average goals

3,4

2,1

Scored

2,4

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

5 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

12 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 2. · Royal Excel Mouscron 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	23	9	9	5	+8	36
2	Genk	15	10	4	1	+21	34
3	Antwerp	15	11	1	3	+11	34
4	Charleroi	23	10	4	9	+4	34
5	Standard	16	9	5	2	+15	32
6	Gent	14	9	2	3	+15	29
7	Kortrijk	22	7	7	8	-3	28
8	Eupen	22	9	1	12	-13	28
9	Club Brugge	15	8	3	4	+15	27
10	Anderlecht	15	8	3	4	+10	27
11	Cercle Brugge	23	7	5	11	-16	26
12	Waregem	23	6	5	12	-11	23
13	Oostende	22	6	5	11	-17	23
14	Beveren	23	4	10	9	-7	22
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	22	5	5	12	-10	20
16	Lokeren	23	3	5	15	-22	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	12	7	1	4	+5	22
2	St Truiden	11	5	5	1	+7	20
3	Gent	8	6	1	1	+11	19
4	Cercle Brugge	12	6	1	5	-3	19
5	Eupen	12	6	0	6	-2	18
6	Standard	7	5	2	0	+10	17
7	Genk	8	5	2	1	+9	17
8	Club Brugge	8	5	1	2	+12	16
9	Antwerp	8	5	1	2	+5	16
10	Anderlecht	7	4	3	0	+10	15
11	Waregem	11	4	3	4	+3	15
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	4	3	4	+0	15
13	Oostende	10	4	2	4	-4	14
14	Beveren	11	2	6	3	-1	12
15	Kortrijk	10	3	3	4	-3	12
16	Lokeren	12	3	3	6	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	7	6	0	1	+6	18
2	Genk	7	5	2	0	+12	17
3	St Truiden	12	4	4	4	+1	16
4	Kortrijk	12	4	4	4	+0	16
5	Standard	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Anderlecht	8	4	0	4	+0	12
7	Charleroi	11	3	3	5	-1	12
8	Club Brugge	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Gent	6	3	1	2	+4	10
10	Beveren	12	2	4	6	-6	10
11	Eupen	10	3	1	6	-11	10
12	Oostende	12	2	3	7	-13	9
13	Waregem	12	2	2	8	-14	8
14	Cercle Brugge	11	1	4	6	-13	7
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	1	2	8	-10	5
16	Lokeren	11	0	2	9	-12	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.