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Referee: Alexandre Boucaut

Royal Excel Mouscron

T S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,0

This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 30%

32%

28%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

56%

64%

Both score Ø 56%

48%

64%

Average goals

2,2

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1 Corners 3

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 10. · Cercle Brugge 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	26	11	10	5	+12	43
2	Charleroi	26	11	5	10	+2	38
3	Genk	17	11	4	2	+21	37
4	Antwerp	17	12	1	4	+12	37
5	Standard	17	10	5	2	+17	35
6	Kortrijk	26	9	7	10	-3	34
7	Gent	17	10	2	5	+14	32
8	Club Brugge	17	9	4	4	+16	31
9	Anderlecht	17	9	4	4	+11	31
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	25	8	5	12	-5	29
11	Eupen	26	9	2	15	-18	29
12	Waregem	26	7	7	12	-10	28
13	Cercle Brugge	25	7	6	12	-17	27
14	Beveren	26	5	10	11	-8	25
15	Oostende	26	6	7	13	-20	25
16	Lokeren	26	4	5	17	-24	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	13	7	5	1	+11	26
2	Charleroi	13	7	2	4	+5	23
3	Standard	8	6	2	0	+12	20
4	Cercle Brugge	13	6	2	5	-3	20
5	Anderlecht	9	5	4	0	+11	19
6	Gent	9	6	1	2	+10	19
7	Waregem	13	5	4	4	+4	19
8	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	5	3	4	+3	18
9	Eupen	13	6	0	7	-3	18
10	Genk	9	5	2	2	+8	17
11	Club Brugge	8	5	1	2	+12	16
12	Antwerp	8	5	1	2	+5	16
13	Beveren	13	3	6	4	-1	15
14	Kortrijk	13	4	3	6	-4	15
15	Oostende	13	4	3	6	-7	15
16	Lokeren	13	4	3	6	-9	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	9	7	0	2	+7	21
2	Genk	8	6	2	0	+13	20
3	Kortrijk	13	5	4	4	+1	19
4	St Truiden	13	4	5	4	+1	17
5	Standard	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Club Brugge	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Charleroi	13	4	3	6	-3	15
8	Gent	8	4	1	3	+4	13
9	Anderlecht	8	4	0	4	+0	12
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	3	2	8	-8	11
11	Eupen	13	3	2	8	-15	11
12	Beveren	13	2	4	7	-7	10
13	Oostende	13	2	4	7	-13	10
14	Waregem	13	2	3	8	-14	9
15	Cercle Brugge	12	1	4	7	-14	7
16	Lokeren	13	0	2	11	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.