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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Standard
U T S S U
4–1
Full-time
Waregem
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 12/18 matches
Win Ø 32%
42%
22%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
72%
Both score Ø 57%
42%
72%
Average goals
2,2
3,6
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

8 Corners 2
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Standard 12. · Waregem 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 19 8 7 4 +8 31
2 Charleroi 19 9 3 7 +6 30
3 Genk 13 8 4 1 +18 28
4 Antwerp 13 9 1 3 +9 28
5 Gent 13 8 2 3 +12 26
6 Cercle Brugge 19 7 4 8 -11 25
7 Club Brugge 13 7 3 3 +15 24
8 Anderlecht 13 7 3 3 +9 24
9 Kortrijk 19 6 6 7 -4 24
10 Oostende 19 6 4 9 -14 22
11 Eupen 19 7 1 11 -15 22
12 Standard 12 5 5 2 +8 20
13 Beveren 19 3 8 8 -5 17
14 Waregem 18 4 5 9 -10 17
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 19 3 5 11 -12 14
16 Lokeren 19 3 5 11 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Waregem
1–0 Mehdi Carcela-González
11′
17′
🟨 Michael Heylen
35′
🟨 Marco Burki
2–0 Mehdi Carcela-González
36′
42′
🟨 Theo Bongonda
Half-time 2–0
54′
🔁 Hicham Faik
↦ Thomas Buffel
54′
🔁 Mikael Soisalo
↦ Sandy Walsh
3–0 Renaud Emond
57′
Moussa Djenepo 🟨
63′
68′
🟨 Marvin Baudry
4–0 Renaud Emond
69′
69′
🟨 Marvin Baudry
69′
🟥 Marvin Baudry
Orlando Sá 🔁
↦ Renaud Emond
76′
77′
🔁 Chris Bedia
↦ Hamdi Harbaoui
Maxime Lestienne 🔁
↦ Mehdi Carcela-González
80′
89′
Mikael Soisalo 4–1
Samuel Bastien 🔁
↦ Moussa Djenepo
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Standard

4-2-3-1
13 Guillermo Ochoa G
21 Collins Fai D
26 Christian Luyindama D
3 Zinho Vanheüsden D
34 Konstantinos Laifis D
18 Răzvan Marin M
8 Gojko Cimirot M
19 Moussa Djenepo M
10 Mehdi Carcela-González M
40 Paul-José Mpoku F
9 Renaud Emond F
Bench (7)
1 Jean-Francois Gillet
29 Luis Pedro Cavanda
6 Miloš Kosanović
5 Uche Agbo
22 Maxime Lestienne
28 Samuel Bastien
7 Orlando Sá

Coach: M. Preud'homme

Waregem

4-4-1-1
1 Sammy Bossut G
2 Davy de Fauw D
3 Marvin Baudry D
4 Michael Heylen D
23 Marco Burki D
19 Mamadou Sylla F
22 Florian Tardieu M
14 Sandy Walsh D
10 Theo Bongonda M
7 Thomas Buffel F
9 Hamdi Harbaoui F
Bench (7)
25 Louis Bostyn
20 Henrik Bjørdal
16 Urho Nissilä
8 Hicham Faik
17 Mikael Soisalo
11 Nill De Pauw
12 Chris Bedia

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.