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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
De Graafschap
T S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Den Haag
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
30%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
65%
57%
Both score Ø 48%
35%
61%
Average goals
3,3
3,4
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
6 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match De Graafschap 17. · Den Haag 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 23 18 4 1 +58 58
2 Ajax 23 18 2 3 +62 56
3 Feyenoord 23 13 4 6 +19 43
4 AZ Alkmaar 23 12 4 7 +19 40
5 Heracles 22 11 2 9 +1 35
6 Vitesse 20 8 6 6 +5 30
7 Utrecht 21 8 6 7 +2 30
8 VVV Venlo 23 8 5 10 -11 29
9 Willem II 23 8 4 11 -7 28
10 Heerenveen 23 6 9 8 -3 27
11 Den Haag 23 7 6 10 -15 27
12 For Sittard 23 7 5 11 -14 26
13 Excelsior 23 7 5 11 -22 26
14 Groningen 21 7 4 10 -2 25
15 Zwolle 23 7 4 12 -12 25
16 FC Emmen 23 6 6 11 -24 24
17 De Graafschap 23 6 3 14 -26 21
18 NAC Breda 23 4 5 14 -30 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

De Graafschap Den Haag
32′
S. Becker 0–1
F. Narsingh 🔁
↦ C. Benschop
33′
N. Bertrams 🔁
↦ H. Jurjus
41′
Half-time 0–1
65′
🟨 Danny Bakker
D. van Mieghem 🔁
↦ N. Bahoui
70′
72′
🔁 D. Malone
↦ J. Goossens
81′
🟨 Lex Immers
1–1 Y. El Jebli
D. Burgzorg
81′
87′
🔁 S. Pinas
↦ A. El Khayati
90′
🔁 E. Hooi
↦ S. Becker
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

De Graafschap

4-3-3
1 H. Jurjus G
3 T. van de Pavert D
5 J. Tutuarima D
44 L. Owusu D
2 B. Straalman D
9 N. Bahoui M
8 J. Vet M
20 Y. El Jebli M
21 A. Matusiwa M
35 C. Benschop F
25 D. Burgzorg F
Bench (10)
7 F. Narsingh
12 N. Bertrams
11 D. van Mieghem
18 E. Bakker
24 R. Ligeon
4 L. Nieuwpoort
6 R. Klaasen
23 S. Nieuwpoort
28 F. Olijve
13 J. Rondeel

Coach: H. de Jong

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 W. Kanon D
3 G. Troupée D
10 L. Immers M
23 A. El Khayati M
11 J. Goossens M
17 D. Bakker M
9 T. Necid F
7 S. Becker F
Bench (10)
2 D. Malone
19 S. Pinas
77 E. Hooi
18 M. Havekotte
28 M. van Kins
26 T. Goppel
24 D. Muringen
6 D. Gorter
25 R. Polley
1 I. Groothuizen

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.