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Eliteserien

Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Valerenga

S S U T U

0–2

Full-time

Rosenborg

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Rosenborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,5

3,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+3,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,38 xG 1,40

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 8. · Rosenborg 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fredrikstad	3	2	0	1	+4	-2.9	6
2	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.2	6
3	Viking	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.7	6
4	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.8	6
5	Brann	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.9	6
6	Kristiansund	4	2	0	2	-1	+0.5	6
7	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.4	4
8	Valerenga	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.1	4
9	Stromsgodset	3	1	0	2	+3	-0.8	3
10	Sandefjord	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.8	3
11	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.2	3
12	Tromso	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.1	3
13	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.1	3
14	Bryne	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.0	0
15	Molde	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.8	0
16	Haugesund	2	0	0	2	-6	-5.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.9	6
2	Viking	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.3	6
3	Brann	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.2	6
4	Sandefjord	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
5	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.3	3
6	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
7	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
8	Kristiansund	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
9	Ham-Kam	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
10	Rosenborg	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
11	Tromso	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
12	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
13	Stromsgodset	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
14	Bryne	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
15	Molde	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
16	Haugesund	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.0	3
2	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
3	Rosenborg	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
4	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
5	Kristiansund	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.6	3
6	Valerenga	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.5	1
7	Bryne	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
8	Fredrikstad	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
9	Haugesund	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.6	0
10	KFUM Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
11	Viking	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
12	Tromso	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
13	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
14	Molde	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.0	0
15	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.3	0
16	Brann	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.