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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Ł Karski
Zaglebie
S U T S T
1–2
Full-time
Cracovia
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
39%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
45%
58%
Both score Ø 62%
48%
76%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaglebie 15. · Cracovia 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 33 21 4 8 +36 +13.3 67
2 Rakow 33 19 9 5 +27 +11.7 66
3 Jagiellonia 33 17 9 7 +14 +4.1 60
4 Pogon Szczecin 33 17 6 10 +19 +17.4 57
5 Legia 33 15 8 10 +15 +13.3 53
6 Cracovia 33 13 9 11 +4 -4.4 48
7 Gornik Zabrze 33 13 7 13 +4 +4.9 46
8 GKS Katowice 33 13 7 13 +1 -3.5 46
9 Motor Lublin 33 13 7 13 -12 -2.9 46
10 Piast Gliwice 33 11 12 10 +2 -1.4 45
11 Korona Kielce 33 11 11 11 -8 -2.1 44
12 Radomiak Radom 33 11 8 14 -3 -0.8 41
13 Widzew Lodz 33 11 7 15 -10 -6.4 40
14 Lechia Gdansk 33 10 7 16 -14 -16.3 37
15 Zaglebie 33 10 6 17 -17 -7.8 36
16 Stal Mielec 33 7 9 17 -17 +0.4 30
17 Slask Wroclaw 33 6 11 16 -15 -0.7 29
18 Puszcza 33 6 9 18 -26 -18.9 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaglebie Cracovia
27′
A. Hasić 0–1
V. Ghiță
42′
M. Perković 0–2
Amir Al Ammari
Half-time 0–2
M. Reguła 🔁
↦ D. Kurminowski
46′
B. Kłudka 🔁
↦ J. Kolan
46′
1–2 D. Dąbrowski
M. Reguła
47′
Josip Ćorluka 🟨
58′
63′
🔁 M. van Buren
↦ B. Källman
74′
🟨 Amir Al-Ammari
78′
🟨 Filip Rózga
80′
🔁 B. Biedrzycki
↦ F. Rózga
80′
🔁 P. Sokołowski
↦ Amir Al Ammari
K. Nowogoński 🔁
↦ I. Orlikowski
86′
M. Mróz 🔁
↦ A. Radwański
86′
91′
🔁 M. Minchev
↦ A. Hasić
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Zaglebie

4-2-3-1
1 J. Burić G
31 I. Orlikowski D
25 M. Nalepa D
5 A. Ławniczak D
16 J. Ćorluka D
8 D. Dąbrowski M
26 J. Kolan M
77 K. Szmyt M
18 A. Radwański M
21 T. Pieńko M
90 D. Kurminowski F
Bench (9)
44 M. Reguła
27 B. Kłudka
36 K. Nowogoński
7 M. Mróz
29 M. Listkowski
4 D. Michalski
22 A. Matysek
80 D. Mikołajewski
6 T. Makowski

Coach: L. Ojrzynski

Cracovia

3-4-3
27 H. Ravas G
5 V. Ghiță D
4 G. Henriksson D
39 M. Perković D
25 O. Kakabadze M
6 Amir Al Ammari M
11 M. Maigaard M
19 D. Ólafsson M
18 F. Rózga
9 B. Källman F
14 A. Hasić F
Bench (9)
7 M. van Buren
16 B. Biedrzycki
88 P. Sokołowski
10 M. Minchev
21 K. Śmiglewski
26 J. Burek
66 O. Wójcik
23 F. Bzdyl
24 J. Jugas

Coach: D. Kroczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.