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Superligaen

Referee: J Hansen

Lyngby

U S U T T

3–1

Full-time

Aalborg

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyngby Aalborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 15%

13%

16%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

32%

68%

Both score Ø 48%

48%

Average goals

2,1

3,1

Scored

0,7

1,1

Conceded

1,4

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,36 xG 0,67

48% Possession 52%

9 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lyngby 11. · Aalborg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	31	17	9	5	+24	+14.1	60
2	Midtjylland	31	18	5	8	+21	+5.3	59
3	Silkeborg	31	13	10	8	+16	+6.8	49
4	Brondby	31	12	12	7	+11	+9.6	48
5	Randers FC	31	13	9	9	+8	+4.6	48
6	Nordsjaelland	31	13	7	11	+0	+7.2	46
7	Viborg	31	11	11	9	+6	-1.9	44
8	Aarhus	31	10	10	11	+8	+9.7	40
9	Sonderjyske	31	9	7	15	-18	-14.1	34
10	Vejle	31	7	7	17	-26	-13.6	28
11	Lyngby	31	4	12	15	-19	-6.4	24
12	Aalborg	31	5	9	17	-31	-21.2	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	15	13	0	2	+18	+7.5	39
2	Nordsjaelland	16	10	5	1	+17	+7.4	35
3	FC Copenhagen	15	9	5	1	+13	+10.2	32
4	Viborg	16	9	3	4	+6	-1.6	30
5	Randers FC	16	8	4	4	+7	+4.8	28
6	Aarhus	15	7	6	2	+14	+10.9	27
7	Brondby	16	7	6	3	+6	+7.7	27
8	Silkeborg	15	7	5	3	+8	+3.3	26
9	Sonderjyske	16	5	5	6	-8	-10.3	20
10	Lyngby	15	3	6	6	-6	+0.6	15
11	Vejle	15	3	5	7	-12	-2.2	14
12	Aalborg	16	3	4	9	-16	-10.5	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	16	8	4	4	+11	+3.9	28
2	Silkeborg	16	6	5	5	+8	+3.5	23
3	Brondby	15	5	6	4	+5	+1.9	21
4	Midtjylland	16	5	5	6	+3	-2.2	20
5	Randers FC	15	5	5	5	+1	-0.2	20
6	Viborg	15	2	8	5	+0	-0.3	14
7	Sonderjyske	15	4	2	9	-10	-3.8	14
8	Vejle	16	4	2	10	-14	-11.4	14
9	Aarhus	16	3	4	9	-6	-1.2	13
10	Aalborg	15	2	5	8	-15	-10.7	11
11	Nordsjaelland	15	3	2	10	-17	-0.2	11
12	Lyngby	16	1	6	9	-13	-7.1	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.