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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Real Madrid

T S T S S

2–0

Full-time

Sociedad

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 52%

68%

35%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

59%

43%

Both score Ø 42%

57%

27%

Average goals

3,1

2,1

Scored

2,1

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,58 xG 0,77

62% Possession 38%

16 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

11 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Sociedad 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	37	27	4	6	+60	+45.1	85
2	Real Madrid	37	25	6	6	+38	+29.9	81
3	Ath Madrid	37	21	10	6	+34	+29.9	73
4	Ath Bilbao	37	19	13	5	+28	+17.2	70
5	Villarreal	37	19	10	8	+18	+21.4	67
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	+7	+5.0	60
7	Celta	37	15	7	15	+1	+11.2	52
8	Osasuna	37	12	15	10	-4	-8.2	51
9	Vallecano	37	13	12	12	-4	-5.3	51
10	Mallorca	37	13	8	16	-9	-7.1	47
11	Sociedad	37	13	7	17	-9	+1.0	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	-10	-8.6	46
13	Getafe	37	11	9	17	-4	-6.9	42
14	Alaves	37	10	11	16	-10	-3.4	41
15	Sevilla	37	10	11	16	-11	-5.7	41
16	Girona	37	11	8	18	-12	-4.6	41
17	Espanol	37	10	9	18	-13	-21.6	39
18	Leganes	37	8	13	16	-20	-26.3	37
19	Las Palmas	37	8	8	21	-19	-30.9	32
20	Valladolid	37	4	4	29	-61	-32.2	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	19	14	4	1	+27	+27.2	46
2	Real Madrid	18	15	1	2	+24	+25.9	46
3	Barcelona	19	14	1	4	+32	+34.3	43
4	Ath Bilbao	18	11	6	1	+22	+14.3	39
5	Celta	19	11	3	5	+11	+9.1	36
6	Osasuna	19	10	6	3	+10	+2.6	36
7	Betis	19	9	7	3	+11	+14.4	34
8	Villarreal	18	8	7	3	+14	+12.6	31
9	Valencia	19	9	4	6	+6	+4.8	31
10	Espanol	18	7	6	5	+1	-4.9	27
11	Sociedad	19	8	3	8	+0	+5.6	27
12	Mallorca	19	7	6	6	-1	-2.3	27
13	Vallecano	18	6	7	5	-2	+5.1	25
14	Girona	18	7	3	8	+1	+5.0	24
15	Sevilla	19	6	6	7	-6	+0.0	24
16	Alaves	18	6	5	7	-3	+1.4	23
17	Leganes	18	6	4	8	-7	-9.8	22
18	Getafe	18	4	7	7	-3	+2.9	19
19	Las Palmas	19	4	5	10	-8	-8.1	17
20	Valladolid	19	3	4	12	-21	-10.7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	13	3	2	+28	+10.8	42
2	Villarreal	19	11	3	5	+4	+8.9	36
3	Real Madrid	19	10	5	4	+14	+4.0	35
4	Ath Bilbao	19	8	7	4	+6	+2.9	31
5	Ath Madrid	18	7	6	5	+7	+2.7	27
6	Vallecano	19	7	5	7	-2	-10.4	26
7	Betis	19	7	5	7	-4	-9.4	26
8	Getafe	19	7	2	10	-1	-9.8	23
9	Mallorca	18	6	2	10	-8	-4.8	20
10	Sociedad	18	5	4	9	-9	-4.6	19
11	Alaves	19	4	6	9	-7	-4.8	18
12	Sevilla	18	4	5	9	-5	-5.7	17
13	Girona	19	4	5	10	-13	-9.6	17
14	Celta	18	4	4	10	-10	+2.1	16
15	Las Palmas	18	4	3	11	-11	-22.7	15
16	Leganes	19	2	9	8	-13	-16.5	15
17	Osasuna	18	2	9	7	-14	-10.8	15
18	Valencia	19	2	9	8	-16	-13.4	15
19	Espanol	19	3	3	13	-14	-16.7	12
20	Valladolid	18	1	0	17	-40	-21.6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.