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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Mischa Huru Kellerhals

Mjondalen

T S T T T

0–6

Full-time

Lillestrom

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjondalen Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

2,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,2

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

71%

Points per game

0,3

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 43%

57%

29%

Average goals

3,1

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,9

Conceded

2,3

0,4

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mjondalen 16. · Lillestrom 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	7	5	2	0	+10	17
2	Odd	7	4	1	2	+4	13
3	Egersund	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Start	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	Aalesund	6	3	3	0	+5	12
6	Sogndal	7	4	0	3	+2	12
7	Stabaek	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Kongsvinger	7	3	1	3	+6	10
9	Ranheim	7	3	1	3	-1	10
10	hodd	7	3	1	3	-2	10
11	Raufoss	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	Moss	7	3	0	4	-6	9
13	Asane	7	1	3	3	-4	6
14	Lyn	7	1	1	5	-3	4
15	Skeid	7	0	2	5	-8	2
16	Mjondalen	7	0	2	5	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Moss	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Lillestrom	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Sogndal	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Aalesund	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Stabaek	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Raufoss	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Start	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Kongsvinger	3	1	1	1	+4	4
11	Ranheim	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	hodd	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Asane	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Lyn	4	0	1	3	-3	1
15	Mjondalen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Skeid	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Start	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Egersund	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	hodd	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Kongsvinger	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Ranheim	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Aalesund	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Stabaek	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Asane	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Odd	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Lyn	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Sogndal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Raufoss	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Skeid	4	0	1	3	-3	1
15	Mjondalen	4	0	1	3	-6	1
16	Moss	4	0	0	4	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.