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Championship
Referee: R Jones
Blackburn
U T S U S
0–0
Full-time
West Brom
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 29%
30%
28%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
40%
48%
Both score Ø 52%
48%
55%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,85 xG 0,69
44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 6
0 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 20. · West Brom 21.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 40 25 8 7 +42 +30.5 83
2 Ipswich 38 19 12 7 +28 +26.4 69
3 Millwall 39 20 9 10 +9 +5.0 69
4 Middlesbrough 37 18 10 9 +14 +21.9 64
5 Wrexham 40 17 13 10 +9 -4.3 64
6 Hull 37 19 7 11 +8 -20.6 64
7 Southampton 37 17 11 9 +19 +15.7 62
8 Derby 40 17 9 14 +7 +0.7 60
9 Norwich 41 17 7 17 +7 -2.9 58
10 Watford 40 14 14 12 +3 +5.4 56
11 QPR 40 16 8 16 -5 -0.3 56
12 Stoke 40 15 9 16 +5 -9.2 54
13 Bristol City 40 15 9 16 +0 -5.1 54
14 Birmingham 40 14 11 15 -2 +13.6 53
15 Preston 40 13 14 13 -4 -15.3 53
16 Swansea 40 15 8 17 -5 -4.7 53
17 Sheffield United 40 15 6 19 +0 +12.1 51
18 Charlton 40 12 12 16 -11 -15.9 48
19 Leicester 40 11 13 16 -9 -14.3 46
20 Blackburn 40 12 10 18 -12 +4.5 46
21 West Brom 40 11 11 18 -14 +9.0 44
22 Portsmouth 40 10 12 18 -17 -0.0 42
23 Oxford 41 9 14 18 -15 -7.5 41
24 Sheffield Weds 40 1 9 30 -57 -44.8 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn West Brom
Sean McLoughlin 🟨
23′
Harry Pickering 🟨
26′
Scott Wharton 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
Y. Ribeiro 🔁
↦ S. Wharton
46′
M. Jorgensen 🔁
↦ H. Pickering
46′
47′
🟨 Ousmane Diakité
72′
🔁 D. Dike
↦ A. Heggebo
O. Afolayan 🔁
↦ T. Cantwell
77′
92′
🟨 Daryl Dike
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Blackburn

3-4-2-1
22 B. Toth G
38 T. Atcheson D
16 S. Wharton D
15 S. McLoughlin D
2 R. Alebiosu M
28 A. Forshaw M
24 M. Baradji M
3 H. Pickering M
25 R. Morishita F
10 T. Cantwell F
23 Y. Ohashi F
Bench (9)
1 A. Pears
27 N. Redmond
4 Y. Ribeiro
14 D. De Neve
29 M. Jorgensen
21 O. Afolayan
8 S. Tavares
5 T. Gardner-Hickman
31 K. Montgomery

Coach: Damien Johnson

West Brom

4-4-2
1 M. O'Leary G
30 D. Imray D
3 N. Phillips D
6 G. Campbell D
29 C. Taylor D
21 I. Price M
8 J. Molumby M
17 O. Diakite M
4 C. Styles M
9 J. Maja F
19 A. Heggebo F
Bench (9)
20 J. Griffiths
25 H. Mustapha
49 E. Sule
37 O. Bostock
27 A. Mowatt
12 D. Dike
14 A. Gilchrist
34 H. Whitwell
18 J. Jimoh-Aloba

Coach: Eric Ramsay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,59
U ✓
3,11
B
2,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Jones · 186 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.