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LaLiga2

Referee: G Etayo

Castellon

T T U U S

3–2

Full-time

Granada

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Granada

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 38%

45%

30%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

45%

39%

Both score Ø 54%

55%

52%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,61 xG 1,78

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Castellon 7. · Granada 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	34	19	5	10	+14	-4.2	62
2	Almeria	34	18	7	9	+19	+5.1	61
3	La Coruna	34	17	9	8	+15	+2.4	60
4	Las Palmas	34	15	12	7	+17	+2.4	57
5	Malaga	34	16	9	9	+15	+6.3	57
6	Burgos	34	16	9	9	+12	+4.8	57
7	Castellon	33	15	9	9	+14	+3.7	54
8	Eibar	34	15	9	10	+9	+7.4	54
9	Ceuta	34	14	6	14	-13	-11.6	48
10	Andorra	34	12	10	12	+3	+2.2	46
11	Sp Gijon	33	13	7	13	+1	+1.1	46
12	Cordoba	34	12	9	13	-6	+3.7	45
13	Albacete	34	11	11	12	-2	+1.1	44
14	Granada	33	10	12	11	+3	+0.5	42
15	Sociedad B	33	11	7	15	-4	-8.4	40
16	Leganes	34	9	12	13	+1	+3.1	39
17	Valladolid	34	10	9	15	-8	+2.2	39
18	Cadiz	34	10	8	16	-14	-7.7	38
19	Zaragoza	34	8	10	16	-15	-0.2	34
20	Huesca	34	8	8	18	-18	-0.5	32
21	Mirandes	34	8	8	18	-19	-4.3	32
22	Cultural Leonesa	34	8	8	18	-24	-9.1	32

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	18	12	4	2	+19	+10.4	40
2	Almeria	17	12	2	3	+19	+6.7	38
3	Malaga	17	10	6	1	+16	+5.3	36
4	Las Palmas	18	10	5	3	+16	+3.2	35
5	Santander	17	11	2	4	+14	+0.2	35
6	Ceuta	16	11	1	4	+7	+0.4	34
7	Castellon	16	10	3	3	+14	+0.8	33
8	Burgos	17	8	6	3	+11	+5.4	30
9	Sp Gijon	17	8	6	3	+8	+2.0	30
10	La Coruna	17	8	5	4	+6	+1.4	29
11	Sociedad B	17	7	5	5	+4	-1.9	26
12	Andorra	17	6	6	5	+4	+2.9	24
13	Huesca	17	6	6	5	+0	+1.1	24
14	Granada	17	5	8	4	+6	+3.5	23
15	Valladolid	17	6	4	7	+1	+4.0	22
16	Cordoba	16	6	4	6	-2	+1.1	22
17	Albacete	17	6	4	7	-5	-1.1	22
18	Leganes	16	5	5	6	+3	+7.5	20
19	Cadiz	17	6	2	9	-7	-2.2	20
20	Zaragoza	17	4	5	8	-8	+2.9	17
21	Mirandes	17	4	4	9	-11	-1.3	16
22	Cultural Leonesa	17	3	4	10	-15	+2.0	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	17	9	4	4	+9	+1.0	31
2	Burgos	17	8	3	6	+1	-0.6	27
3	Santander	17	8	3	6	+0	-4.4	27
4	Almeria	17	6	5	6	+0	-1.6	23
5	Cordoba	18	6	5	7	-4	+2.6	23
6	Albacete	17	5	7	5	+3	+2.2	22
7	Las Palmas	16	5	7	4	+1	-0.8	22
8	Andorra	17	6	4	7	-1	-0.6	22
9	Castellon	17	5	6	6	+0	+2.9	21
10	Malaga	17	6	3	8	-1	+0.9	21
11	Leganes	18	4	7	7	-2	-4.4	19
12	Granada	16	5	4	7	-3	-3.0	19
13	Cultural Leonesa	17	5	4	8	-9	-11.1	19
14	Cadiz	17	4	6	7	-7	-5.5	18
15	Zaragoza	17	4	5	8	-7	-3.2	17
16	Valladolid	17	4	5	8	-9	-1.9	17
17	Sp Gijon	16	5	1	10	-7	-0.9	16
18	Mirandes	17	4	4	9	-8	-3.1	16
19	Sociedad B	16	4	2	10	-8	-6.5	14
20	Eibar	16	3	5	8	-10	-3.1	14
21	Ceuta	18	3	5	10	-20	-12.1	14
22	Huesca	17	2	2	13	-18	-1.6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.