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Eliteserien
Referee: S T Sinnes
Molde
S T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,03 xG 1,50
61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
22 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 9. · Lillestrom 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Tromso 2 2 0 0 +5 +3.5 6
2 Viking 3 2 0 1 +3 +3.4 6
3 Valerenga 3 2 0 1 +2 -2.7 6
4 Lillestrom 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.5 3
5 Sarpsborg 08 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.8 3
6 Kristiansund 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.5 3
7 Ham-Kam 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.7 3
8 KFUM Oslo 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.9 3
9 Molde 2 1 0 1 -1 -0.2 3
10 Fredrikstad 2 1 0 1 -2 -2.6 3
11 Aalesund 2 0 1 1 -2 -3.4 1
12 Start 2 0 1 1 -2 +0.8 1
13 Brann 2 0 0 2 -2 -1.1 0
14 Sandefjord 2 0 0 2 -3 -0.3 0
15 Rosenborg 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Lillestrom
Halldor Stenevik 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
V. Bender 🔁
↦ J. Christensen
46′
48′
🟨 Ylldren Ibrahimaj
49′
T. Olsen 0–1
Felix Va
F. Gulbrandsen 🔁
↦ M. Linnes
66′
T. Kone-Doherty 🔁
↦ C. Zady
67′
76′
🔁 Y. Paintsil
↦ U. Jenssen
B. Isufi 🔁
↦ E. Hestad
80′
84′
🔁 C. Jebara
↦ S. Drammeh
E. Haugan 🔁
89′
91′
🟨 Pontus Dahlberg
92′
🔁 G. Nyheim
↦ Felix Va
92′
🔁 L. Svenningsen
↦ M. Karlsbakk
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Molde

4-4-2
1 M. Kikkenborg G
18 H. Stenevik D
4 S. Hansen D
33 B. Risa D
25 M. Linnes D
5 E. Hestad M
15 V. Hoff M
14 J. Christensen M
11 C. Zady M
9 J. Abdullai F
10 E. Breivik F
Bench (9)
22 A. Posiadala
19 E. Haugan
23 S. Granaas
49 D. Nakken
31 B. Isufi
28 V. Bender
8 F. Gulbrandsen
24 T. Kone-Doherty
43 J. Fugelsnes

Coach: Martin Falk

Lillestrom

4-1-4-1
12 P. Dahlberg G
2 L. Ranger D
5 S. Foss D
23 U. Jenssen D
3 S. Ottesen D
29 Y. Ibrahimaj M
15 S. Drammeh M
8 M. Karlsbakk M
17 E. Kitolano M
20 Felix Va M
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (9)
1 S. Hagerup
22 J. Kitolano
19 C. Jebara
6 H. Woxen
9 K. Arierhi
26 Y. Paintsil
14 G. Nyheim
7 L. Alperud
30 L. Svenningsen

Coach: Hans Odegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.