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Eliteserien

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Viking

S S S U S

0–0

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viking Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

5,7

4,0

Scored

4,3

3,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 88%

100%

75%

Average goals

5,5

3,3

Scored

3,5

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,34 xG 0,84

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

12 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viking 2. · Sarpsborg 08 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	6	5	0	1	+4	+4.9	15
2	Viking	6	4	1	1	+9	+8.2	13
3	Rosenborg	5	3	2	0	+4	+5.9	11
4	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	1	0	+7	+5.5	10
5	Fredrikstad	5	3	1	1	+6	-3.0	10
6	Sarpsborg 08	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.6	7
7	Valerenga	6	2	1	3	-2	-0.8	7
8	Kristiansund	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.8	7
9	Stromsgodset	5	2	0	3	+3	-2.6	6
10	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.2	6
11	Tromso	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.9	4
12	KFUM Oslo	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.0	4
13	Ham-Kam	5	1	1	3	-7	-4.3	4
14	Bryne	4	1	0	3	-1	+1.1	3
15	Molde	4	0	2	2	-5	-2.1	2
16	Haugesund	5	0	1	4	-12	-12.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	4	3	1	0	+8	+5.3	10
2	Fredrikstad	3	3	0	0	+7	-1.2	9
3	Brann	3	3	0	0	+4	+2.0	9
4	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.9	6
5	Sandefjord	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.3	6
6	Rosenborg	3	1	2	0	+1	+4.1	5
7	Ham-Kam	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.7	4
8	Bryne	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.0	3
9	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
10	Tromso	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
11	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.3	3
12	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.0	3
13	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
14	Molde	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.6	1
15	Haugesund	2	0	1	1	-5	-2.8	1
16	Stromsgodset	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Stromsgodset	3	2	0	1	+5	+0.6	6
2	Sarpsborg 08	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.6	6
3	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.8	6
4	Brann	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.8	6
5	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.6	4
6	Valerenga	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
7	Kristiansund	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.1	4
8	Viking	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.8	3
9	Fredrikstad	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
10	Tromso	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.8	1
11	Molde	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.5	1
12	KFUM Oslo	3	0	1	2	-5	-2.1	1
13	Bryne	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.0	0
14	Sandefjord	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.5	0
15	Ham-Kam	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.6	0
16	Haugesund	3	0	0	3	-7	-9.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.