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Eliteserien

Referee: K Hagenes

Sarpsborg 08

S T T T S

1–2

Full-time

Viking

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Viking

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,0

4,7

Scored

1,0

2,8

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 40%

32%

48%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

64%

60%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,4

2,0

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,46 xG 1,01

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 8

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 12. · Viking 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	25	16	6	3	+36	+18.7	54
2	Brann	25	14	7	4	+15	+11.6	49
3	Molde	25	13	5	7	+25	+16.2	44
4	Viking	25	12	8	5	+15	+15.1	44
5	Fredrikstad	26	12	7	7	+2	+2.5	43
6	Rosenborg	25	12	4	9	+5	+2.1	40
7	KFUM Oslo	25	8	10	7	+1	+7.2	34
8	Stromsgodset	26	8	8	10	-7	-6.1	32
9	Kristiansund	25	7	9	9	-8	-9.2	30
10	Ham-Kam	25	7	8	10	-1	-3.1	29
11	Tromso	25	8	5	12	-5	-11.9	29
12	Sarpsborg 08	25	8	5	12	-13	-6.2	29
13	Sandefjord	25	6	7	12	-8	-2.8	25
14	Haugesund	25	6	6	13	-14	-6.7	24
15	Odd	25	5	8	12	-18	-17.5	23
16	Lillestrom	25	6	3	16	-25	-10.0	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	9	3	0	+27	+12.0	30
2	Viking	13	8	4	1	+11	+9.8	28
3	Rosenborg	13	9	1	3	+11	+6.2	28
4	Molde	13	7	2	4	+15	+13.4	23
5	Brann	12	7	2	3	+7	+9.6	23
6	Fredrikstad	13	6	5	2	+3	+6.2	23
7	Kristiansund	13	5	6	2	+1	+4.4	21
8	Stromsgodset	13	5	4	4	+3	+6.5	19
9	Sandefjord	12	5	2	5	+1	+1.8	17
10	Tromso	13	4	3	6	+1	-0.2	15
11	Ham-Kam	12	3	4	5	+1	-1.3	13
12	KFUM Oslo	13	2	7	4	-4	+8.6	13
13	Haugesund	12	4	1	7	-5	+2.5	13
14	Odd	13	3	4	6	-8	-5.7	13
15	Sarpsborg 08	12	3	2	7	-10	-0.8	11
16	Lillestrom	12	2	3	7	-13	-4.2	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	13	7	5	1	+8	+2.0	26
2	Bodo/Glimt	13	7	3	3	+9	+6.8	24
3	Molde	12	6	3	3	+10	+2.8	21
4	KFUM Oslo	12	6	3	3	+5	-1.4	21
5	Fredrikstad	13	6	2	5	-1	-3.7	20
6	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	3	5	-3	-5.4	18
7	Viking	12	4	4	4	+4	+5.4	16
8	Ham-Kam	13	4	4	5	-2	-1.8	16
9	Tromso	12	4	2	6	-6	-11.7	14
10	Stromsgodset	13	3	4	6	-10	-12.5	13
11	Rosenborg	12	3	3	6	-6	-4.1	12
12	Lillestrom	13	4	0	9	-12	-5.7	12
13	Haugesund	13	2	5	6	-9	-9.3	11
14	Odd	12	2	4	6	-10	-11.8	10
15	Kristiansund	12	2	3	7	-9	-13.7	9
16	Sandefjord	13	1	5	7	-9	-4.7	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.