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Championship
Referee: O Langford
Swansea
S T U U S
1–2
Full-time
Stoke
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,2
This season — Championship · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
2,1
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
70%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
0,7
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
22 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 9
9 Blocked shots 1
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 1. · Stoke 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Swansea 10 6 3 1 +8 21
2 Leeds 10 6 2 2 +9 20
3 West Brom 10 5 4 1 +6 19
4 Nott'm Forest 10 5 4 1 +6 19
5 Fulham 10 5 3 2 +10 18
6 Preston 10 5 3 2 +7 18
7 Charlton 11 5 3 3 +3 18
8 Bristol City 10 4 5 1 +4 17
9 Sheffield Weds 10 5 1 4 +6 16
10 QPR 10 5 1 4 -3 16
11 Birmingham 11 5 1 5 -3 16
12 Cardiff 9 4 3 2 +2 15
13 Blackburn 10 4 2 4 +0 14
14 Hull 10 3 4 3 +1 13
15 Brentford 10 3 3 4 +1 12
16 Derby 10 2 6 2 -2 12
17 Luton 10 3 2 5 -3 11
18 Millwall 10 2 5 3 -5 11
19 Wigan 10 3 2 5 -6 11
20 Middlesbrough 11 2 4 5 -5 10
21 Reading 10 2 2 6 -5 8
22 Barnsley 10 1 3 6 -10 6
23 Huddersfield 10 1 2 7 -9 5
24 Stoke 10 0 2 8 -12 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Stoke
1–0 A. Ayew
1′
J. Bidwell 🔁
↦ K. Naughton
16′
22′
S. Clucas 1–1
42′
🟨 Joe Allen
Half-time 1–1
Jay Fulton 🟨
47′
G. Byers 🔁
↦ J. Fulton
62′
65′
🔁 S. Hogan
↦ T. Campbell
65′
🔁 S. Vokes
↦ L. Gregory
W. Routledge 🔁
↦ B. Celina
66′
Matt Grimes 🟨
79′
90′
S. Hogan 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Swansea

4-2-3-1
27 F. Woodman G
26 K. Naughton D
5 M. van der Hoorn D
4 J. Rodon D
6 J. Fulton M
8 M. Grimes M
23 C. Roberts D
22 A. Ayew M
9 Borja Bastón F
10 B. Celina M
21 Y. Dhanda M
Bench (7)
24 J. Bidwell
28 G. Byers
15 W. Routledge
41 J. Garrick
19 S. Surridge
14 T. Carroll
25 E. Mulder

Coach: S. Cooper

Stoke

4-3-1-2
32 A. Federici G
6 D. Batth D
15 B. Martins Indi D
12 C. Carter-Vickers D
2 T. Edwards D
4 J. Allen M
22 S. Clucas M
27 Badou N'Diaye M
8 O. Etebo M
19 L. Gregory F
26 T. Campbell F
Bench (7)
20 S. Hogan
9 S. Vokes
7 T. Ince
5 L. Lindsay
25 N. Powell
31 M. Duffy
1 J. Butland

Coach: N. Jones

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,99
U
3,43
B ✓
3,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.