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Championship

Referee: T Robinson

Norwich

S S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Brentford

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Brentford

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

This season — Championship · 33/31 matches

Win Ø 60%

64%

55%

Points per game

2,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

39%

55%

Both score Ø 53%

48%

58%

Average goals

2,2

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

13 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

2 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norwich 1. · Brentford 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	33	21	7	5	+22	70
2	Watford	33	17	9	7	+19	60
3	Brentford	31	17	8	6	+25	59
4	Reading	34	17	6	11	+9	57
5	Cardiff	34	15	8	11	+18	53
6	Bournemouth	32	14	10	8	+16	52
7	Swansea	28	15	7	6	+13	52
8	Barnsley	30	15	6	9	+6	51
9	Middlesbrough	34	14	8	12	+4	50
10	Millwall	34	10	16	8	+3	46
11	Stoke	33	11	12	10	+1	45
12	Bristol City	33	14	3	16	-9	45
13	Luton	33	12	8	13	-9	44
14	Preston	34	13	4	17	-6	43
15	Blackburn	33	11	7	15	+7	40
16	QPR	31	10	10	11	-5	40
17	Nott'm Forest	34	10	10	14	-5	40
18	Derby	33	10	8	15	-12	38
19	Huddersfield	34	10	7	17	-12	37
20	Coventry	34	8	11	15	-15	35
21	Birmingham	34	8	11	15	-16	35
22	Sheffield Weds	32	9	7	16	-15	34
23	Rotherham	31	8	5	18	-9	29
24	Wycombe	32	5	8	19	-30	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	16	12	2	2	+20	38
2	Norwich	16	10	5	1	+13	35
3	Bournemouth	17	10	3	4	+12	33
4	Swansea	16	9	5	2	+10	32
5	Brentford	15	9	4	2	+15	31
6	Barnsley	15	9	3	3	+7	30
7	Reading	17	10	0	7	+5	30
8	Huddersfield	17	8	3	6	+7	27
9	Middlesbrough	17	8	3	6	+2	27
10	Stoke	16	7	4	5	+3	25
11	Cardiff	17	7	3	7	+12	24
12	Luton	16	6	6	4	+1	24
13	Coventry	17	6	6	5	-1	24
14	Blackburn	16	6	5	5	+5	23
15	Sheffield Weds	15	6	5	4	+3	23
16	Bristol City	16	7	2	7	-2	23
17	Millwall	17	4	10	3	+3	22
18	QPR	15	6	4	5	+0	22
19	Nott'm Forest	17	5	6	6	+0	21
20	Derby	17	5	5	7	-5	20
21	Preston	17	5	3	9	-2	18
22	Rotherham	16	4	3	9	-2	15
23	Wycombe	17	3	5	9	-11	14
24	Birmingham	17	3	3	11	-16	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	17	11	2	4	+9	35
2	Cardiff	17	8	5	4	+6	29
3	Brentford	16	8	4	4	+10	28
4	Reading	17	7	6	4	+4	27
5	Preston	17	8	1	8	-4	25
6	Millwall	17	6	6	5	+0	24
7	Middlesbrough	17	6	5	6	+2	23
8	Birmingham	17	5	8	4	+0	23
9	Watford	17	5	7	5	-1	22
10	Bristol City	17	7	1	9	-7	22
11	Barnsley	15	6	3	6	-1	21
12	Swansea	12	6	2	4	+3	20
13	Stoke	17	4	8	5	-2	20
14	Luton	17	6	2	9	-10	20
15	Bournemouth	15	4	7	4	+4	19
16	Nott'm Forest	17	5	4	8	-5	19
17	QPR	16	4	6	6	-5	18
18	Derby	16	5	3	8	-7	18
19	Blackburn	17	5	2	10	+2	17
20	Rotherham	15	4	2	9	-7	14
21	Coventry	17	2	5	10	-14	11
22	Sheffield Weds	17	3	2	12	-18	11
23	Huddersfield	17	2	4	11	-19	10
24	Wycombe	15	2	3	10	-19	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.