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Championship
Referee: Scott Duncan
Brentford
S S T S S
0–1
Full-time
Norwich
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Norwich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Championship · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 38%
39%
36%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
39%
Both score Ø 52%
54%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
27 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
13 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brentford 9. · Norwich 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 28 19 5 4 +28 62
2 Derby 27 15 7 5 +21 52
3 Cardiff 28 15 6 7 +15 51
4 Bristol City 28 13 9 6 +8 48
5 Sheffield United 28 14 4 10 +10 46
6 Fulham 26 12 8 6 +13 44
7 Aston Villa 25 12 7 6 +15 43
8 Middlesbrough 26 13 4 9 +12 43
9 Brentford 28 11 10 7 +7 43
10 Leeds 28 13 4 11 +7 43
11 Preston 28 10 12 6 +4 42
12 Ipswich 28 12 4 12 +1 40
13 Norwich 28 10 7 11 -5 37
14 Nott'm Forest 28 11 2 15 -8 35
15 Millwall 28 8 10 10 +0 34
16 QPR 28 8 9 11 -9 33
17 Sheffield Weds 28 7 11 10 -4 32
18 Reading 28 7 8 13 -6 29
19 Barnsley 28 6 9 13 -12 27
20 Bolton 28 6 8 14 -20 26
21 Hull 28 5 10 13 -6 25
22 Sunderland 28 5 10 13 -17 25
23 Birmingham 28 6 6 16 -23 24
24 Burton Albion 28 6 6 16 -31 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brentford Norwich
5′
J. Maddison 0–1
40′
🟨 Jamal Lewis
Half-time 0–1
A. Judge 🔁
↦ J. McEachran
59′
Sergi Canós 🔁
↦ N. Maupay
59′
E. Marcondes 🔁
↦ K. Mokotjo
75′
78′
🔁 M. Leitner
↦ Josh Murphy
82′
🔁 M. Watkins
↦ Nélson Oliveira
Sergi Canos 🟨
83′
Andreas Bjelland 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Grant Hanley
95′
🔁 T. Trybull
↦ M. Vrančić
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Brentford

4-3-3
1 D. Bentley G
5 A. Bjelland D
29 Y. Barbet D
33 C. Mepham D
12 K. Mokotjo M
10 J. McEachran M
8 N. Yennaris M
15 R. Woods M
7 F. Jozefzoon M
9 N. Maupay F
11 O. Watkins M
Bench (7)
18 A. Judge
47 Sergi Canós
17 E. Marcondes
4 L. MacLeod
14 J. Egan
22 H. Dalsgaard
28 L. Daniels

Coach: D. Smith

Norwich

3-4-1-2
1 A. Gunn G
15 T. Klose D
31 G. Hanley D
6 C. Zimmermann D
8 M. Vrančić M
27 A. Tettey M
4 H. Reed M
23 J. Maddison M
26 J. Lewis D
9 Nélson Oliveira F
11 Josh Murphy M
Bench (7)
10 M. Leitner
12 M. Watkins
19 T. Trybull
32 D. Srbeny
18 M. Stiepermann
25 O. Hernández
33 M. McGovern

Coach: D. Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Scott Duncan · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.