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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
Burnley
U S T T T
3–0
Full-time
West Ham
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
64%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 7
12 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 10
11 Corners 4
7 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burnley 14. · West Ham 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 11 10 1 0 +16 31
2 Chelsea 12 8 2 2 +10 26
3 Man City 11 8 1 2 +24 25
4 Leicester 11 7 2 2 +19 23
5 Arsenal 11 4 5 2 +1 17
6 Sheffield United 11 4 4 3 +4 16
7 Bournemouth 11 4 4 3 +1 16
8 Brighton 11 4 3 4 +0 15
9 Crystal Palace 12 4 3 5 -6 15
10 Man United 11 3 4 4 +2 13
11 Tottenham 11 3 4 4 +1 13
12 Wolves 11 2 7 2 +0 13
13 West Ham 11 3 4 4 -3 13
14 Burnley 11 3 3 5 -4 12
15 Newcastle 11 3 3 5 -8 12
16 Aston Villa 11 3 2 6 -2 11
17 Everton 11 3 2 6 -6 11
18 Watford 12 1 5 6 -15 8
19 Southampton 11 2 2 7 -17 8
20 Norwich 12 2 1 9 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burnley West Ham
1–0 A. Barnes
J. Tarkowski
11′
20′
🔁 A. Yarmolenko
↦ M. Noble
2–0 C. Wood
D. McNeil
44′
Ben Mee 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Roberto Jiménez
own goal
54′
56′
🔁 M. Lanzini
↦ Felipe Anderson
64′
🔁 A. Ajeti
↦ Pablo Fornals
69′
🟨 Ryan Fredericks
J. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ A. Barnes
81′
Ashley Westwood 🟨
88′
R. Brady 🔁
↦ C. Wood
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Burnley

4-4-2
1 N. Pope G
26 P. Bardsley D
6 B. Mee D
5 J. Tarkowski D
3 C. Taylor D
4 J. Cork M
18 A. Westwood M
13 J. Hendrick M
10 A. Barnes F
9 C. Wood F
11 D. McNeil M
Bench (7)
19 J. Rodriguez
12 R. Brady
23 E. Pieters
28 K. Long
20 J. Hart
25 A. Lennon
2 M. Lowton

Coach: S. Dyche

West Ham

4-4-1-1
13 Roberto Jiménez G
3 A. Cresswell D
24 R. Fredericks D
4 F. Balbuena D
23 I. Diop D
16 M. Noble M
11 R. Snodgrass M
8 Felipe Anderson M
41 D. Rice M
18 Pablo Fornals F
22 S. Haller F
Bench (7)
7 A. Yarmolenko
10 M. Lanzini
27 A. Ajeti
5 P. Zabaleta
25 D. Martin
15 C. Sánchez
21 A. Ogbonna

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,27
U
3,55
B
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.