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Championship
Referee: M Donohue
Stoke
U T U T S
3–2
Full-time
Reading
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

47% Possession 53%
18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Feb -21 Stoke – Reading 0–0 7. Nov -20 Reading – Stoke 0–3 20. Jun -20 Reading – Stoke 1–1 14. Dec -19 Stoke – Reading 0–0 16. Mar -19 Stoke – Reading 0–0

Match report

Stoke Reading
24′
🟨 Liam Moore
1–0 N. Powell ⚽
T. Smith
25′
26′
⚽ J. Swift 1–1
2–1 J. Brown ⚽
N. Powell
28′
Half-time 2–2
60′
⚽ L. Moore 2–2
J. Swift
S. Surridge 🔁
↦ S. Fletcher
73′
S. Clucas 🔁
↦ N. Powell
73′
77′
🔁 D. Tetek
↦ J. Swift
77′
🔁 G. Puşcaş
↦ Lucas João
A. Doughty 🔁
↦ J. Tymon
78′
3–2 S. Surridge ⚽
T. Smith
85′
J. Thompson 🔁
↦ M. Vrančić
88′
88′
🔁 T. Holmes
↦ F. Azeez
90′
🟨 Josh Laurent
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Stoke

5-3-2
12 J. Bursik G
6 D. Batth D
2 T. Smith D
3 M. Fox D
14 J. Tymon D
16 B. Wilmot D
8 M. Vrančić M
4 J. Allen M
25 N. Powell M
9 S. Fletcher F
18 J. Brown F
Bench (7)
22 S. Surridge
7 S. Clucas
11 A. Doughty
15 J. Thompson
36 H. Souttar
23 T. Ince
1 A. Davies

Coach: M. O'Neill

Reading

4-2-3-1
33 Rafael G
4 M. Morrison D
6 L. Moore D
5 T. Mcintyre D
41 E. Bristow M
17 A. Yiadom D
10 J. Swift M
28 J. Laurent M
8 A. Rinomhota M
30 F. Azeez M
18 Lucas João F
Bench (5)
16 D. Tetek
47 G. Puşcaş
3 T. Holmes
32 Mamadi Camará
22 L. Southwood

Coach: V. Paunovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,09
🔒
U
3,25
🔒
B
3,75
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,43
🔒
U2,5
1,56
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Donohue · 188 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.