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Ligue 2
Pau FC
T U S S T
0–1
Full-time
Toulouse
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

14 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 1
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 9. · Toulouse 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Caen 3 2 0 1 +4 6
3 Auxerre 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Sochaux 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Toulouse 2 1 1 0 +4 4
6 Ajaccio 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Le Havre 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Nimes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Pau FC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Rodez 2 1 0 1 -3 3
11 Guingamp 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Valenciennes 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Dunkerque 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Niort 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Dijon 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Amiens 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Nancy 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Grenoble 2 0 0 2 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,82
U
3,09
B ✓
2,07
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.