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Premiership
Referee: G Duncan
St Mirren
S T U U U
1–2
Full-time
Hearts
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 0
5 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Mar -20 St Mirren – Hearts 1–0 9. Nov -19 Hearts – St Mirren 5–2 28. Sep -19 St Mirren – Hearts 0–0

Match report

St Mirren Hearts
16′
⚽ A. Halliday 0–1
L. Boyce
28′
🟨 Peter Haring
36′
🟨 Beni Baningime
Half-time 0–1
64′
🔁 A. Gnanduillet
↦ J. Ginnelly
73′
⚽ L. Boyce 0–2
G. Mackay-Steven
76′
🔁 A. McEneff
↦ G. Mackay-Steven
C. MacPherson 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
77′
K. Dennis 🔁
↦ E. Brophy
77′
J. Henderson 🔁
↦ R. Tait
77′
1–2 J. Shaughnessy ⚽
S. Tanser
85′
Kristian Dennis 🟥
86′
89′
🔁 E. Henderson
↦ L. Boyce
Curtis Main 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-4-1-2
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait M
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser M
6 A. Power M
11 G. Kiltie F
7 J. McGrath M
10 C. Main F
9 E. Brophy F
Bench (7)
14 C. MacPherson
20 K. Dennis
12 J. Henderson
23 L. Erwin
26 D. Lyness
5 C. McCarthy
16 E. Erhahon

Coach: J. Goodwin

Hearts

3-4-2-1
1 C. Gordon G
2 M. Smith M
4 J. Souttar D
19 C. Halkett D
17 A. Cochrane D
16 A. Halliday M
11 G. Mackay-Steven F
5 P. Haring M
30 J. Ginnelly F
6 B. Baningime M
10 L. Boyce F
Bench (7)
21 A. Gnanduillet
8 A. McEneff
22 E. Henderson
13 R. Stewart
35 A. Denholm
34 L. Watson
27 C. Smith

Coach: R. Neilson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,88
🔒
U
3,28
🔒
B ✓
2,43
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,13
🔒
U2,5
1,70
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Duncan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.