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2. Bundesliga

St Pauli

T U T T U

1–1

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 32%

57%

Points per game

0,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

71%

50%

Both score Ø 61%

64%

57%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,9

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

19 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 3

7 Corners 5

10 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 17. · Holstein Kiel 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	14	9	2	3	+12	29
2	Holstein Kiel	14	8	4	2	+10	28
3	Greuther Furth	15	8	3	4	+10	27
4	Bochum	14	8	2	4	+11	26
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	8	2	4	+2	26
6	Erzgebirge Aue	14	6	4	4	+7	22
7	Karlsruhe	15	7	1	7	+3	22
8	Osnabruck	14	6	4	4	+0	22
9	Heidenheim	15	6	4	5	-1	22
10	Hannover	14	6	2	6	+5	20
11	Nurnberg	14	5	4	5	+2	19
12	Darmstadt	14	5	3	6	+1	18
13	Paderborn	14	5	3	6	+1	18
14	Regensburg	14	4	5	5	-2	17
15	Sandhausen	15	4	2	9	-15	14
16	Braunschweig	14	3	3	8	-18	12
17	St Pauli	14	1	6	7	-10	9
18	Wurzburger Kickers	14	1	2	11	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	6	1	0	+8	19
2	Heidenheim	8	5	3	0	+9	18
3	Bochum	8	5	2	1	+12	17
4	Hannover	7	5	1	1	+11	16
5	Hamburg	8	5	1	2	+9	16
6	Erzgebirge Aue	7	4	2	1	+7	14
7	Holstein Kiel	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Regensburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Nurnberg	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Sandhausen	8	3	2	3	-2	11
11	Paderborn	6	3	1	2	+2	10
12	Greuther Furth	7	3	1	3	+0	10
13	Braunschweig	7	3	1	3	-4	10
14	Karlsruhe	7	3	0	4	+1	9
15	Darmstadt	6	2	2	2	+1	8
16	Osnabruck	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	St Pauli	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Wurzburger Kickers	8	1	2	5	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	Osnabruck	8	4	3	1	+3	15
3	Holstein Kiel	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Hamburg	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Karlsruhe	8	4	1	3	+2	13
6	Darmstadt	8	3	1	4	+0	10
7	Bochum	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	Nurnberg	7	2	2	3	+1	8
9	Erzgebirge Aue	7	2	2	3	+0	8
10	Paderborn	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Regensburg	7	1	3	3	-4	6
13	St Pauli	8	0	4	4	-5	4
14	Hannover	7	1	1	5	-6	4
15	Heidenheim	7	1	1	5	-10	4
16	Sandhausen	7	1	0	6	-13	3
17	Braunschweig	7	0	2	5	-14	2
18	Wurzburger Kickers	6	0	0	6	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.