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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra

Ath Madrid

S S S S S

2–2

Full-time

Celta

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,3

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 19/21 matches

Win Ø 57%

84%

29%

Points per game

2,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

42%

43%

Both score Ø 45%

37%

52%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

2,1

1,1

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

9 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Corners 4

4 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 1. · Celta 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	19	16	2	1	+30	50
2	Barcelona	21	13	4	4	+24	43
3	Real Madrid	21	13	4	4	+18	43
4	Sevilla	21	13	3	5	+15	42
5	Villarreal	22	8	12	2	+9	36
6	Sociedad	22	9	8	5	+16	35
7	Betis	22	9	3	10	-8	30
8	Granada	22	8	6	8	-10	30
9	Levante	21	6	9	6	+0	27
10	Ath Bilbao	21	7	4	10	+2	25
11	Celta	21	6	7	8	-7	25
12	Valencia	22	5	9	8	-2	24
13	Getafe	21	6	6	9	-9	24
14	Cadiz	22	6	6	10	-15	24
15	Osasuna	22	5	7	10	-10	22
16	Alaves	22	5	7	10	-10	22
17	Eibar	22	4	8	10	-7	20
18	Valladolid	22	4	8	10	-12	20
19	Elche	20	3	9	8	-10	18
20	Huesca	22	2	10	10	-14	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Sevilla	10	7	1	2	+11	22
3	Barcelona	10	6	3	1	+12	21
4	Villarreal	11	5	6	0	+7	21
5	Granada	11	6	3	2	+3	21
6	Ath Bilbao	11	6	1	4	+9	19
7	Real Madrid	9	6	0	3	+9	18
8	Sociedad	11	4	5	2	+8	17
9	Levante	10	4	5	1	+4	17
10	Betis	11	5	2	4	+0	17
11	Celta	10	5	1	4	-2	16
12	Getafe	11	4	3	4	+1	15
13	Osasuna	11	4	3	4	-2	15
14	Valencia	11	3	5	3	+2	14
15	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-5	13
16	Cadiz	11	2	4	5	-6	10
17	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-7	10
18	Elche	11	1	6	4	-7	9
19	Huesca	11	1	5	5	-6	8
20	Eibar	11	1	4	6	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	7	4	1	+9	25
2	Barcelona	11	7	1	3	+12	22
3	Ath Madrid	9	7	1	1	+9	22
4	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+4	20
5	Sociedad	11	5	3	3	+8	18
6	Villarreal	11	3	6	2	+2	15
7	Cadiz	11	4	2	5	-9	14
8	Eibar	11	3	4	4	+0	13
9	Betis	11	4	1	6	-8	13
10	Levante	11	2	4	5	-4	10
11	Valencia	11	2	4	5	-4	10
12	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-5	10
13	Elche	9	2	3	4	-3	9
14	Celta	11	1	6	4	-5	9
15	Alaves	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Getafe	10	2	3	5	-10	9
17	Granada	11	2	3	6	-13	9
18	Huesca	11	1	5	5	-8	8
19	Osasuna	11	1	4	6	-8	7
20	Ath Bilbao	10	1	3	6	-7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.