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2. Bundesliga

St Pauli

S U T U T

2–2

Full-time

Paderborn

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 48%

55%

40%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

75%

65%

Both score Ø 68%

60%

75%

Average goals

3,4

3,1

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

8 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 5

2 Corners 4

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 4. · Paderborn 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	20	12	3	5	+23	39
2	Werder Bremen	21	11	5	5	+12	38
3	Schalke 04	21	11	4	6	+17	37
4	St Pauli	20	11	4	5	+13	37
5	Heidenheim	21	11	4	6	+2	37
6	Hamburg	20	8	10	2	+14	34
7	Nurnberg	21	9	6	6	+1	33
8	Regensburg	21	9	4	8	+8	31
9	Paderborn	20	8	6	6	+10	30
10	Karlsruhe	20	6	8	6	+2	26
11	Holstein Kiel	20	6	7	7	-6	25
12	Dresden	20	7	3	10	-5	24
13	Hannover	21	6	6	9	-14	24
14	Hansa Rostock	20	5	6	9	-11	21
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	20	5	5	10	-6	20
16	Sandhausen	20	5	5	10	-17	20
17	Erzgebirge Aue	21	3	6	12	-22	15
18	Ingolstadt	21	3	4	14	-21	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	9	8	1	0	+19	25
2	Heidenheim	11	7	3	1	+8	24
3	Hamburg	11	5	6	0	+11	21
4	Schalke 04	11	6	2	3	+10	20
5	Darmstadt	9	6	1	2	+15	19
6	Werder Bremen	10	5	3	2	+9	18
7	Regensburg	11	5	2	4	+6	17
8	Nurnberg	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Dresden	9	5	1	3	+6	16
10	Karlsruhe	10	4	4	2	+5	16
11	Holstein Kiel	10	4	2	4	-3	14
12	Hannover	10	3	3	4	-5	12
13	Paderborn	11	2	3	6	-3	9
14	Hansa Rostock	10	2	3	5	-6	9
15	Erzgebirge Aue	11	2	2	7	-12	8
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	1	4	5	-3	7
17	Ingolstadt	10	1	3	6	-8	6
18	Sandhausen	10	1	3	6	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	9	6	3	0	+13	21
2	Darmstadt	11	6	2	3	+8	20
3	Werder Bremen	11	6	2	3	+3	20
4	Schalke 04	10	5	2	3	+7	17
5	Nurnberg	10	4	4	2	+0	16
6	Regensburg	10	4	2	4	+2	14
7	Sandhausen	10	4	2	4	-4	14
8	Hamburg	9	3	4	2	+3	13
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	1	5	-3	13
10	Heidenheim	10	4	1	5	-6	13
11	Hansa Rostock	10	3	3	4	-5	12
12	St Pauli	11	3	3	5	-6	12
13	Hannover	11	3	3	5	-9	12
14	Holstein Kiel	10	2	5	3	-3	11
15	Karlsruhe	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Dresden	11	2	2	7	-11	8
17	Erzgebirge Aue	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	Ingolstadt	11	2	1	8	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.