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2. Bundesliga

Schalke 04

U S T S U

1–1

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 39%

50%

28%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

61%

78%

Both score Ø 61%

61%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

21 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 5

6 Corners 4

13 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Schalke 04 5. · Holstein Kiel 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	19	11	4	4	+14	37
2	Darmstadt	19	11	3	5	+21	36
3	Werder Bremen	19	9	5	5	+10	32
4	Hamburg	19	7	10	2	+13	31
5	Schalke 04	18	9	3	6	+11	30
6	Paderborn	19	8	6	5	+11	30
7	Nurnberg	19	8	6	5	+5	30
8	Heidenheim	18	9	3	6	-1	30
9	Regensburg	18	8	4	6	+7	28
10	Karlsruhe	19	6	8	5	+3	26
11	Dresden	19	7	2	10	-5	23
12	Hannover	19	6	5	8	-12	23
13	Holstein Kiel	18	5	6	7	-7	21
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	19	5	5	9	-5	20
15	Hansa Rostock	19	5	5	9	-11	20
16	Sandhausen	18	4	5	9	-16	17
17	Erzgebirge Aue	19	3	6	10	-15	15
18	Ingolstadt	18	2	4	12	-23	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	9	8	1	0	+19	25
2	Darmstadt	9	6	1	2	+15	19
3	Hamburg	10	4	6	0	+10	18
4	Heidenheim	9	5	3	1	+5	18
5	Regensburg	10	5	2	3	+7	17
6	Nurnberg	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Schalke 04	9	5	1	3	+9	16
8	Dresden	9	5	1	3	+6	16
9	Karlsruhe	10	4	4	2	+5	16
10	Werder Bremen	9	4	3	2	+8	15
11	Holstein Kiel	10	4	2	4	-3	14
12	Hannover	9	3	2	4	-5	11
13	Paderborn	10	2	3	5	-2	9
14	Hansa Rostock	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Erzgebirge Aue	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	1	4	4	-2	7
17	Ingolstadt	9	1	3	5	-6	6
18	Sandhausen	8	0	3	5	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	9	6	3	0	+13	21
2	Darmstadt	10	5	2	3	+6	17
3	Werder Bremen	10	5	2	3	+2	17
4	Schalke 04	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Sandhausen	10	4	2	4	-4	14
6	Hamburg	9	3	4	2	+3	13
7	Nurnberg	9	3	4	2	-1	13
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	1	5	-3	13
9	St Pauli	10	3	3	4	-5	12
10	Hansa Rostock	10	3	3	4	-5	12
11	Heidenheim	9	4	0	5	-6	12
12	Hannover	10	3	3	4	-7	12
13	Regensburg	8	3	2	3	+0	11
14	Karlsruhe	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Holstein Kiel	8	1	4	3	-4	7
16	Erzgebirge Aue	9	1	4	4	-8	7
17	Dresden	10	2	1	7	-11	7
18	Ingolstadt	9	1	1	7	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.