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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Gerach

Magdeburg

T S T

1–2

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%

9 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 9

3 Offside 5

10 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Magdeburg 11. · Holstein Kiel 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Paderborn	3	2	0	1	+6	6
3	Heidenheim	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Hamburg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Sandhausen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Hansa Rostock	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Kaiserslautern	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Magdeburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Darmstadt	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Holstein Kiel	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Greuther Furth	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Karlsruhe	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Bielefeld	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Sandhausen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Regensburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Greuther Furth	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Bielefeld	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Hansa Rostock	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Kaiserslautern	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Karlsruhe	2	0	1	1	-5	1
12	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Bielefeld	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Hannover	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.