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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
Gornik Zabrze
T S S T S
1–0
Full-time
Rakow
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
4,3
2,8
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
10 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 12. · Rakow 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 3 3 0 0 +9 9
2 Cracovia 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Pogon Szczecin 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Stal Mielec 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Korona Kielce 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Legia 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Rakow 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Slask Wroclaw 4 1 2 1 -1 5
9 Zaglebie 4 1 2 1 -1 5
10 Radomiak Radom 4 1 2 1 -2 5
11 Widzew Lodz 4 1 1 2 +0 4
12 Gornik Zabrze 2 1 0 1 +1 3
13 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 -2 3
14 Lechia Gdansk 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Warta Poznan 4 1 0 3 -5 3
16 Legnica 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Lech Poznan 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Piast Gliwice 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Rakow
31′
🟨 Deian Sorescu
Jonatan Kotzke 🟨
40′
1–0 A. Paluszek
E. Janža
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 V. Gutkovskis
↦ F. Piasecki
46′
🔁 Ivi López
↦ G. Berggren
Szymon Włodarczyk 🟨
47′
58′
🔁 M. Wdowiak
↦ S. Musiolik
R. Dadok 🔁
↦ S. Włodarczyk
63′
63′
🔁 F. Tudor
↦ W. Długosz
Alasana Manneh 🟨
66′
70′
🔁 G. Papanikolaou
↦ B. Lederman
73′
🟨 Fran Tudor
J. Jules 🔁
↦ A. Manneh
73′
Dani Pacheco 🔁
↦ M. Cholewiak
73′
Jean Jules Mvondo 🟨
78′
P. Krawczyk 🔁
↦ Ł. Podolski
85′
K. Kubica 🔁
↦ A. Paluszek
85′
93′
🟨 Mateusz Wdowiak
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

3-4-2-1
32 K. Broll G
4 A. Paluszek D
26 R. Janicki D
3 R. Jensen D
16 P. Olkowski M
8 A. Manneh M
25 J. Kotzke M
64 E. Janža M
20 S. Włodarczyk F
10 Ł. Podolski F
11 M. Cholewiak F
Bench (9)
96 R. Dadok
23 J. Jules
7 Dani Pacheco
21 P. Krawczyk
6 K. Kubica
1 D. Bielica
24 K. Kolanko
77 J. Szymański
22 D. Stalmach

Coach: B. Gaul

Rakow

3-4-1-2
12 K. Trelowski G
25 B. Racovițan D
24 Z. Arsenić D
4 S. Svarnas D
71 W. Długosz M
5 G. Berggren M
8 B. Lederman M
22 D. Sorescu M
30 V. Kochergin F
9 S. Musiolik F
99 F. Piasecki F
Bench (9)
21 V. Gutkovskis
11 Ivi López
17 M. Wdowiak
7 F. Tudor
66 G. Papanikolaou
88 V. Gvilia
23 P. Kun
3 M. Rundić
26 X. Dziekoński

Coach: M. Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Marciniak · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.