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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
Lens
U U S S U
3–2
Full-time
Brest
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Mar -22 Lens – Brest 0–1 21. Nov -21 Brest – Lens 4–0 18. Apr -21 Brest – Lens 1–1 23. Dec -20 Lens – Brest 2–1

Match report

Lens Brest
1–0 F. Sotoca ⚽
27′
Florian Sotoca ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
29′
31′
🟨 Pierre Lees Melou
David da Costa 🟨
37′
40′
🔁 J. Duverne
↦ N. Fadiga
43′
🟨 Youssef Belaïli
Half-time 1–0
62′
🟨 Lilian Brassier
2–0 F. Sotoca ⚽
P. Frankowski
62′
3–0 F. Sotoca ⚽
S. Fofana
65′
66′
⚽ H. Belkebla 3–1
F. Honorat
W. Saïd 🔁
↦ David Costa
68′
70′
🟨 Brendan Chardonnet
74′
🔁 A. Dari
↦ C. Hérelle
74′
🔁 R. Del Castillo
↦ I. Cardona
74′
🔁 H. Magnetti
↦ Y. Belaïli
J. Cabot 🔁
↦ P. Frankowski
76′
I. Ganago 🔁
↦ L. Openda
76′
P. Berg 🔁
↦ F. Sotoca
77′
Kevin Danso 🟨
78′
82′
⚽ R. Del Castillo 3–2
M. Haïdara 🔁
↦ D. Machado
83′
87′
🔁 J. Le Douaron
↦ P. Lees-Melou
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Lens

3-4-2-1
30 B. Samba G
24 J. Gradit D
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
29 P. Frankowski M
26 S. Samed M
8 S. Fofana M
3 D. Machado M
7 F. Sotoca F
20 David Costa F
11 L. Openda F
Bench (9)
22 W. Saïd
19 J. Cabot
9 I. Ganago
6 P. Berg
21 M. Haïdara
13 Ł. Poręba
33 I. Baldé
16 J. Leca
5 C. Wooh

Coach: F. Haise

Brest

4-4-2
40 M. Bizot G
99 N. Fadiga D
5 B. Chardonnet D
23 C. Hérelle D
3 L. Brassier D
9 F. Honorat M
20 P. Lees-Melou M
7 H. Belkebla M
31 Y. Belaïli M
29 Mathias Lage F
14 I. Cardona F
Bench (9)
2 J. Duverne
4 A. Dari
10 R. Del Castillo
8 H. Magnetti
22 J. Le Douaron
30 G. Coudert
18 K. Dembélé
28 H. Mbock
33 A. Camblan

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,56
🔒
U
4,43
🔒
B
5,54
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,66
🔒
U2,5
2,23
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.