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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fábio Veríssimo
Sp Braga
U S S S T
3–3
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,8
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Jan -22 Sp Lisbon – Sp Braga 1–2 14. Aug -21 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 1–2 25. Apr -21 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 0–1 2. Jan -21 Sp Lisbon – Sp Braga 2–0 2. Feb -20 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 1–0

Match report

Sp Braga Sp Lisbon
9′
⚽ Pote 0–1
Pedro Porro
1–1 S. Banza ⚽
Ricardo Horta
14′
18′
⚽ Nuno Santos 1–2
Matheus Nunes
Sikou Niakaté 🟨
22′
Mutassim Al Musrati 🟨
24′
Fabiano 🔁
↦ Víctor Gómez
44′
Half-time 2–2
2–2 S. Niakaté ⚽
Nuno Sequeira
46′
Rodrigo Gomes 🔁
↦ Iuri Medeiros
46′
60′
🔁 M. Edwards
↦ Nuno Santos
60′
🔁 M. Ugarte
↦ H. Morita
60′
🔁 J. St. Juste
↦ Paulinho
63′
ℹ️ Pedro Gonçalves
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Castro 🔁
↦ André Horta
67′
68′
🟨 Matheus Nunes
74′
🟨 Pedro Gonçalves
78′
🔁 Rochinha
↦ Pedro Porro
83′
⚽ M. Edwards 2–3
Rochinha
84′
🔁 Ricardo Esgaio
↦ Trincão
Álvaro Djaló 🔁
↦ S. Niakaté
85′
Abel Ruiz 🔁
↦ S. Banza
85′
3–3 Abel Ruiz ⚽
Álvaro Djaló
88′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
2 Víctor Gómez D
3 Vítor Tormena D
4 S. Niakaté D
6 Nuno Sequeira D
45 Iuri Medeiros M
8 Ali Musrati M
10 André Horta M
21 Ricardo Horta M
23 S. Banza F
99 Vítinha F
Bench (9)
70 Fabiano
7 Rodrigo Gomes
88 Castro
14 Álvaro Djaló
9 Abel Ruiz
18 D. Lainez
12 Tiago Sá
15 Paulo Oliveira
29 J. Gorby

Coach: Artur Jorge

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
1 Adán G
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
4 S. Coates D
2 Matheus Reis D
24 Pedro Porro M
5 H. Morita M
8 Matheus Nunes M
11 Nuno Santos M
17 Trincão F
28 Pote F
20 Paulinho F
Bench (9)
10 M. Edwards
15 M. Ugarte
3 J. St. Juste
16 Rochinha
47 Ricardo Esgaio
63 José Marsà
18 I. Fatawu
71 Flávio Nazinho
12 F. Israel

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,60
🔒
U ✓
3,47
🔒
B
2,01
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,94
🔒
U2,5
1,85
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Fábio Veríssimo · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.