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Championship

Referee: T Bramall

Preston

T T T S S

3–1

Full-time

Swansea

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Swansea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Championship · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 33%

40%

25%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%

11 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Preston 14. · Swansea 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	West Brom	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Stoke	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Cardiff	6	2	3	1	+3	9
5	Coventry	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Luton	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	QPR	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Bournemouth	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Birmingham	4	2	1	1	+4	7
10	Blackburn	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Bristol City	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Huddersfield	4	2	1	1	-2	7
13	Derby	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Preston	5	2	0	3	-3	6
15	Middlesbrough	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Barnsley	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Swansea	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Peterboro	4	1	1	2	-3	4
19	Peterborough	4	1	1	2	-3	4
20	Reading	4	1	0	3	-2	3
21	Hull	4	1	0	3	-3	3
22	Millwall	4	0	2	2	-3	2
23	Blackpool	4	0	2	2	-3	2
24	Nott'm Forest	5	0	1	4	-4	1
25	Sheffield United	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Coventry	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Stoke	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Luton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Preston	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Cardiff	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Peterboro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Peterborough	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Middlesbrough	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Reading	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Derby	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Barnsley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Huddersfield	2	1	0	1	-3	3
16	Bournemouth	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	QPR	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Millwall	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Bristol City	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Swansea	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Birmingham	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Nott'm Forest	2	0	0	2	-2	0
23	Sheffield United	2	0	0	2	-2	0
24	Blackpool	2	0	0	2	-3	0
25	Hull	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Birmingham	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Fulham	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	QPR	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Bristol City	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Cardiff	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	West Brom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Huddersfield	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Blackburn	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Hull	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Luton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Coventry	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Derby	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Blackpool	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Barnsley	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Middlesbrough	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Millwall	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Sheffield United	2	0	1	1	-4	1
22	Reading	2	0	0	2	-2	0
23	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	0
24	Peterboro	2	0	0	2	-4	0
25	Peterborough	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.