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Championship
Referee: J Smith
Stoke
S U S S T
2–1
Full-time
Huddersfield
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
6 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stoke 7. · Huddersfield 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 6 5 1 0 +8 16
2 Fulham 5 4 1 0 +10 13
3 QPR 5 3 2 0 +6 11
4 Birmingham 6 3 2 1 +6 11
5 Huddersfield 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Luton 6 3 1 2 +1 10
7 Stoke 5 3 1 1 +1 10
8 Cardiff 6 2 3 1 +3 9
9 Bournemouth 5 2 3 0 +3 9
10 Coventry 5 3 0 2 +0 9
11 Preston 6 3 0 3 -1 9
12 Blackburn 5 2 2 1 +1 8
13 Bristol City 5 2 1 2 +0 7
14 Middlesbrough 5 1 3 1 +0 6
15 Barnsley 5 1 3 1 +0 6
16 Derby 7 1 3 3 -3 6
17 Sheffield United 6 1 2 3 -2 5
18 Millwall 5 1 2 2 -2 5
19 Hull 5 1 1 3 -3 4
20 Peterborough 5 1 1 3 -4 4
21 Swansea 5 1 1 3 -4 4
22 Peterboro 6 1 1 4 -8 4
23 Reading 5 1 0 4 -6 3
24 Blackpool 5 0 2 3 -4 2
25 Nott'm Forest 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stoke Huddersfield
Half-time 0–1
47′
H. Toffolo 0–1
J. Hogg
49′
🟨 Tom Lees
1–1 J. Brown
M. Vrančić
50′
57′
🟨 Fraizer Campbell
62′
🟨 Duane Holmes
1–2 M. Pearson
own goal
63′
J. Allen 🔁
↦ R. Sawyers
67′
67′
🔁 O. Turton
↦ T. Lees
68′
🔁 D. Sinani
↦ D. Holmes
78′
🔁 A. Odubeko
↦ F. Campbell
S. Fletcher 🔁
↦ S. Surridge
80′
Mario Vrančić 🟨
82′
Joe Allen 🟨
85′
A. Doughty 🔁
↦ M. Vrančić
85′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Stoke

3-5-2
12 J. Bursik G
2 T. Smith M
36 H. Souttar D
19 L. Østigård D
14 J. Tymon M
16 B. Wilmot D
8 M. Vrančić M
28 R. Sawyers M
7 S. Clucas M
22 S. Surridge F
18 J. Brown F
Bench (7)
4 J. Allen
9 S. Fletcher
11 A. Doughty
3 M. Fox
23 T. Ince
1 A. Davies
15 J. Thompson

Coach: M. O'Neill

Huddersfield

3-4-3
21 L. Nicholls G
32 T. Lees D
23 N. Sarr D
4 M. Pearson D
3 H. Toffolo M
6 J. Hogg M
19 D. Holmes F
10 J. Koroma F
8 L. O'Brien M
22 F. Campbell F
16 S. Thomas M
Bench (7)
20 O. Turton
24 D. Sinani
7 A. Odubeko
14 J. Ruffels
5 Álex Vallejo
42 N. Bilokapic
26 L. Colwill

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,55
B
5,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Smith · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.