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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Bacher
Magdeburg
T U S T S
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 39%
32%
45%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
68%
59%
Both score Ø 66%
68%
64%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
21 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 8
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 14. · Kaiserslautern 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 22 14 7 1 +20 49
2 Hamburg 22 14 3 5 +15 45
3 Heidenheim 22 12 7 3 +19 43
4 Paderborn 22 12 3 7 +19 39
5 Kaiserslautern 22 10 8 4 +9 38
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 11 2 9 +7 35
7 St Pauli 22 8 8 6 +4 32
8 Holstein Kiel 22 8 8 6 +2 32
9 Hannover 22 8 5 9 +1 29
10 Karlsruhe 22 8 4 10 +0 28
11 Greuther Furth 22 6 8 8 -6 26
12 Nurnberg 22 7 4 11 -14 25
13 Hansa Rostock 22 7 3 12 -11 24
14 Magdeburg 22 7 3 12 -13 24
15 Braunschweig 22 5 6 11 -12 21
16 Bielefeld 22 6 2 14 -7 20
17 Regensburg 22 5 5 12 -16 20
18 Sandhausen 22 5 4 13 -17 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Kaiserslautern
Daniel Heber 🟨
24′
30′
🟨 Julian Niehues
33′
🟨 Terrence Boyd
1–0 M. Kwarteng
J. Ceka
41′
Jason Ceka 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Marlon Ritter
Half-time 1–0
T. Ito 🔁
↦ J. Ceka
46′
46′
🔁 L. Lobinger
↦ M. Ritter
2–0 T. Ito
B. Atik
65′
71′
🔁 A. Opoku
↦ B. Zolinski
71′
🔁 N. de Préville
↦ T. Boyd
71′
🔁 P. Hercher
↦ N. Rapp
Herbert Bockhorn 🟨
75′
C. Krempicki 🔁
↦ L. Castaignos
77′
T. Sechelmann 🔁
↦ S. Gnaka
82′
M. Ullmann 🔁
↦ H. Bockhorn
82′
Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 🟨
87′
K. Brünker 🔁
↦ B. Atik
88′
89′
🟨 Philipp Klement
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Magdeburg

4-3-3
1 D. Reimann G
7 H. Bockhorn D
5 J. Lawrence D
15 D. Heber D
11 M. El Hankouri D
8 M. Kwarteng M
25 S. Gnaka M
29 A. Condé M
10 J. Ceka F
3 L. Castaignos F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
37 T. Ito
13 C. Krempicki
22 T. Sechelmann
31 M. Ullmann
9 K. Brünker
28 T. Boss
4 E. Dzogovic
20 J. Rieckmann
27 M. Cacutalua

Coach: C. Titz

Kaiserslautern

3-4-1-2
1 A. Luthe G
2 B. Tomiak D
5 K. Kraus D
4 N. Rapp D
37 E. Durm M
16 J. Niehues M
7 M. Ritter M
21 H. Zuck M
10 P. Klement F
31 B. Zolinski F
13 T. Boyd F
Bench (9)
27 L. Lobinger
25 A. Opoku
28 N. de Préville
23 P. Hercher
19 D. Hanslik
30 A. Spahić
20 D. Schad
35 A. Stavridis
8 J. Zimmer

Coach: D. Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,78
U
3,50
B
2,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.