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Superligaen
Referee: Mads Kristoffer Kristoffersen
Aarhus
U T T S U
2–0
Full-time
Horsens
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Horsens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
4,2
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Superligaen · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
37%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
32%
53%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 7. · Horsens 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 19 11 6 2 +18 39
2 Viborg 19 10 5 4 +8 35
3 FC Copenhagen 19 10 3 6 +12 33
4 Randers FC 19 7 7 5 -2 28
5 Brondby 19 7 6 6 -1 27
6 Midtjylland 19 6 8 5 +5 26
7 Aarhus 19 7 5 7 +2 26
8 Silkeborg 19 7 4 8 -1 25
9 Odense 19 6 7 6 -4 25
10 Horsens 19 6 4 9 -6 22
11 Aalborg 19 3 5 11 -13 14
12 Lyngby 19 1 6 12 -18 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Horsens
T. Mølgaard 🔁
↦ T. Thiesson Kristensen
20′
Tobias Mølgaard ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
26′
1–0 P. Mortensen
27′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Y. Aurel Bisseck
P. Mortensen
60′
63′
🔁 E. Just
↦ D. Kruse
63′
🔁 J. Buus
↦ A. Sigurðarson
72′
🟨 Alexander Ludwig
E. Kahl 🔁
↦ G. Links
73′
S. Haugen 🔁
↦ M. Duelund
73′
76′
🔁 S. Makienok
↦ A. Jacobsen
77′
🔁 J. Gomez
↦ A. Ludwig
87′
🔁 J. Gemmer
↦ J. Drachmann
92′
🟨 Lubambo Musonda
P. Bjur 🔁
↦ M. Anderson
92′
Felix Beijmo 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Magnus Jensen
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-4-2-1
1 J. Hansen G
23 T. Thiesson Kristensen D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
2 F. Beijmo M
6 N. Poulsen M
17 Kevin Yakob M
11 G. Links M
20 M. Duelund F
8 M. Anderson F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
14 T. Mølgaard
19 E. Kahl
10 S. Haugen
21 P. Bjur
18 J. Duin
28 A. Daghim
41 M. Sauer
43 D. Herrington
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit

Coach: U. Rösler

Horsens

3-5-2
16 S. Brolin G
3 M. Jensen D
4 M. Kiilerich D
33 A. Ludwig D
18 T. Santos M
6 M. Opondo M
8 J. Drachmann M
23 D. Kruse M
24 L. Musonda M
11 A. Sigurðarson F
9 A. Jacobsen F
Bench (9)
27 E. Just
15 J. Buus
13 S. Makienok
21 J. Gomez
14 J. Gemmer
29 J. Beluli
30 M. Bobjerg
17 M. Lassen
26 S. Iyede

Coach: J. Askou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mads Kristoffer Kristoffersen · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.