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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Ittrich
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
57%
62%
Both score Ø 69%
62%
76%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 6. · Greuther Furth 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 21 14 6 1 +20 48
2 Hamburg 21 14 2 5 +15 44
3 Heidenheim 21 11 7 3 +18 40
4 Paderborn 21 12 2 7 +19 38
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 11 2 9 +7 35
6 Kaiserslautern 21 9 8 4 +7 35
7 Holstein Kiel 21 8 7 6 +2 31
8 St Pauli 21 7 8 6 +3 29
9 Hannover 21 8 5 8 +2 29
10 Karlsruhe 22 8 4 10 +0 28
11 Greuther Furth 21 6 8 7 -4 26
12 Hansa Rostock 21 7 3 11 -10 24
13 Nurnberg 21 6 4 11 -15 22
14 Braunschweig 22 5 6 11 -12 21
15 Magdeburg 21 6 3 12 -14 21
16 Bielefeld 21 6 2 13 -6 20
17 Regensburg 22 5 5 12 -16 20
18 Sandhausen 21 5 4 12 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Greuther Furth
Marlon Ritter 🟨
15′
15′
🟨 Simon Asta
1–0 T. Boyd
K. Redondo
22′
29′
🟨 Simon Asta
29′
🟥 Simon Asta
33′
🔁 M. Meyerhöfer
↦ A. Sieb
P. Hercher 🔁
↦ K. Redondo
38′
Half-time 1–0
E. Durm 🔁
↦ J. Zimmer
46′
46′
🔁 L. Petkov
↦ S. Griesbeck
46′
🔁 J. Green
↦ D. Michalski
Philipp Hercher 🟨
56′
B. Zolinski 🔁
↦ M. Ritter
60′
62′
B. Hrgota 1–1
R. Ache
2–1 P. Hercher
A. Opoku
66′
3–1 K. Kraus
68′
Kevin Kraus 🟨
74′
79′
🔁 D. Abiama
↦ R. Ache
79′
🔁 Afimico Pululu
↦ B. Hrgota
J. Niehues 🔁
↦ T. Boyd
86′
N. de Préville 🔁
↦ A. Opoku
86′
89′
🟨 Gideon Jung
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

4-2-3-1
1 A. Luthe G
8 J. Zimmer D
5 K. Kraus D
2 B. Tomiak D
21 H. Zuck D
4 N. Rapp M
7 M. Ritter M
25 A. Opoku M
10 P. Klement M
11 K. Redondo M
13 T. Boyd F
Bench (9)
23 P. Hercher
37 E. Durm
31 B. Zolinski
16 J. Niehues
28 N. de Préville
19 D. Hanslik
27 L. Lobinger
22 L. Bünning
30 A. Spahić

Coach: D. Schuster

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
1 A. Linde G
22 S. Griesbeck D
4 D. Michalski D
5 O. Haddadi D
2 S. Asta M
20 T. Raschl M
23 G. Jung M
27 L. Itter M
10 B. Hrgota F
39 R. Ache F
30 A. Sieb F
Bench (9)
18 M. Meyerhöfer
16 L. Petkov
37 J. Green
11 D. Abiama
9 Afimico Pululu
3 O. Mhamdi
33 M. Dietz
6 S. Raebiger
25 L. Schaffran

Coach: A. Zorniger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
U
3,29
B
2,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.