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2. Bundesliga
Referee: W Haslberger
Nurnberg
T S U T T
1–1
Full-time
Karlsruhe
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 35%
31%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
42%
54%
Both score Ø 41%
31%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nurnberg 13. · Karlsruhe 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 26 16 7 3 +20 55
2 Heidenheim 26 14 9 3 +23 51
3 Hamburg 26 15 5 6 +16 50
4 St Pauli 26 12 8 6 +12 44
5 Paderborn 26 13 4 9 +18 43
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 26 13 4 9 +11 43
7 Kaiserslautern 26 10 10 6 +5 40
8 Karlsruhe 26 10 5 11 +1 35
9 Hannover 26 9 7 10 +2 34
10 Holstein Kiel 26 8 10 8 +0 34
11 Magdeburg 26 9 4 13 -11 31
12 Greuther Furth 26 7 9 10 -5 30
13 Nurnberg 26 8 5 13 -16 29
14 Bielefeld 26 8 4 14 -4 28
15 Braunschweig 26 6 8 12 -13 26
16 Regensburg 26 7 5 14 -16 26
17 Hansa Rostock 26 7 4 15 -19 25
18 Sandhausen 26 5 6 15 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Karlsruhe
22′
🟨 Marcel Franke
26′
M. Kaufmann 0–1
P. Nebel
Half-time 0–1
54′
🟨 Christoph Kobald
64′
🟨 Leon Jensen
J. Geis 🔁
↦ F. Hübner
65′
M. Dæhli 🔁
↦ T. Duman
65′
Christopher Schindler 🟨
67′
Jens Castrop 🟨
71′
71′
🟨 Sebastian Jung
72′
🔁 S. Ambrosius
↦ C. Kobald
72′
🔁 L. Cueto
↦ L. Jensen
N. Brown 🔁
↦ J. Gyamerah
74′
F. Lohkemper 🔁
↦ E. Shuranov
74′
78′
🟨 Mikkel Kaufmann
79′
🔁 B. Zivzivadze
↦ M. Kaufmann
C. Daferner 🔁
↦ J. Lawrence
82′
Nathaniel Brown ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
88′
Christoph Daferner ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
92′
93′
🟨 Marcel Franke
93′
🟥 Marcel Franke
1–1 K. Duah
94′
95′
🔁 D. Gordon
↦ P. Nebel
95′
🔁 S. Rapp
↦ F. Schleusener
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nurnberg

3-5-2
30 P. Vindahl G
16 C. Schindler D
19 F. Hübner D
4 J. Lawrence D
17 J. Castrop M
8 T. Duman M
21 F. Flick M
6 L. Tempelmann M
28 J. Gyamerah M
11 E. Shuranov F
23 K. Duah F
Bench (9)
5 J. Geis
10 M. Dæhli
35 N. Brown
7 F. Lohkemper
33 C. Daferner
15 F. Nürnberger
1 C. Klaus
38 J. Horn
22 E. Valentini

Coach: D. Hecking

Karlsruhe

4-3-1-2
35 M. Gersbeck G
2 S. Jung D
22 C. Kobald D
28 M. Franke D
16 P. Heise D
6 L. Jensen M
8 J. Gondorf M
10 M. Wanitzek M
26 P. Nebel M
14 M. Kaufmann F
24 F. Schleusener F
Bench (9)
15 S. Ambrosius
17 L. Cueto
19 B. Zivzivadze
3 D. Gordon
7 S. Rapp
31 T. Rossmann
29 M. Weiß
18 D. Brosinski
21 M. Thiede

Coach: C. Eichner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,76
U ✓
3,29
B
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Haslberger · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.