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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Storks
Nurnberg
U T T U T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 40%
29%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
43%
61%
Both score Ø 49%
36%
61%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
13 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 14. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 29 18 7 4 +21 61
2 Hamburg 29 17 5 7 +20 56
3 Heidenheim 28 15 9 4 +25 54
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 28 14 5 9 +12 47
5 St Pauli 29 13 8 8 +11 47
6 Paderborn 28 14 4 10 +20 46
7 Kaiserslautern 28 11 10 7 +6 43
8 Holstein Kiel 28 10 10 8 +2 40
9 Karlsruhe 29 11 6 12 +2 39
10 Greuther Furth 28 9 9 10 -2 36
11 Hannover 28 9 7 12 -6 34
12 Braunschweig 28 8 8 12 -11 32
13 Magdeburg 28 9 5 14 -12 32
14 Nurnberg 28 8 6 14 -17 30
15 Bielefeld 28 8 5 15 -6 29
16 Regensburg 28 7 6 15 -17 27
17 Hansa Rostock 28 7 4 17 -23 25
18 Sandhausen 28 6 6 16 -25 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Fortuna Dusseldorf
1–0 N. Brown
M. Dæhli
10′
Peter Vindahl Jensen 🟨
25′
Half-time 1–0
64′
🔁 K. Peterson
↦ E. Iyoha
64′
🔁 N. Gavory
↦ M. Zimmermann
K. Duah 🔁
↦ F. Lohkemper
68′
73′
🔁 D. Ginczek
↦ T. Oberdorf
J. Geis 🔁
↦ L. Schleimer
76′
79′
🟨 Felix Klaus
79′
🟨 Michał Karbownik
J. Lawrence 🔁
↦ M. Dæhli
85′
T. Handwerker 🔁
↦ N. Brown
85′
P. Köpke 🔁
↦ B. Goller
85′
85′
🔁 Elione Neto
↦ S. Appelkamp
85′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ M. Karbownik
2–0 K. Duah
P. Köpke
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Nurnberg

3-5-2
30 P. Vindahl G
22 E. Valentini D
16 C. Schindler D
38 J. Horn D
14 B. Goller M
6 L. Tempelmann M
21 F. Flick M
36 L. Schleimer M
35 N. Brown M
7 F. Lohkemper F
10 M. Dæhli F
Bench (9)
23 K. Duah
5 J. Geis
4 J. Lawrence
29 T. Handwerker
20 P. Köpke
9 D. Blum
3 S. Fofana
11 E. Shuranov
1 C. Klaus

Coach: D. Hecking

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
3 A. Hoffmann D
5 C. Klarer D
8 M. Karbownik D
15 T. Oberdorf M
31 M. Sobottka M
11 F. Klaus M
23 S. Appelkamp M
19 E. Iyoha M
9 D. Kownacki F
Bench (9)
7 K. Peterson
34 N. Gavory
10 D. Ginczek
46 Elione Neto
39 J. Niemiec
30 J. de Wijs
21 D. Gorka
41 T. Uchino
22 B. Böckle

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,19
U
3,35
B
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Storks · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.