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2. Bundesliga

Referee: R Braun

Holstein Kiel

U T U T S

2–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 32%

33%

30%

Points per game

1,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

67%

41%

Both score Ø 57%

81%

33%

Average goals

3,4

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,9

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

21 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 8. · Nurnberg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	27	17	7	3	+21	58
2	Heidenheim	28	15	9	4	+25	54
3	Hamburg	27	16	5	6	+21	53
4	St Pauli	27	13	8	6	+13	47
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	27	13	5	9	+11	44
6	Paderborn	27	13	4	10	+17	43
7	Kaiserslautern	27	10	10	7	+4	40
8	Holstein Kiel	27	9	10	8	+1	37
9	Karlsruhe	27	10	6	11	+1	36
10	Greuther Furth	28	9	9	10	-2	36
11	Hannover	28	9	7	12	-6	34
12	Magdeburg	27	9	5	13	-11	32
13	Nurnberg	27	8	6	13	-16	30
14	Bielefeld	27	8	5	14	-4	29
15	Braunschweig	27	7	8	12	-12	29
16	Regensburg	28	7	6	15	-17	27
17	Hansa Rostock	27	7	4	16	-20	25
18	Sandhausen	27	5	6	16	-26	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	14	10	3	1	+21	33
2	Darmstadt	14	9	5	0	+15	32
3	Hamburg	14	9	2	3	+16	29
4	St Pauli	13	8	5	0	+13	29
5	Paderborn	13	9	0	4	+19	27
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	8	3	2	+14	27
7	Greuther Furth	14	7	6	1	+7	27
8	Kaiserslautern	13	5	6	2	+3	21
9	Karlsruhe	14	6	3	5	+2	21
10	Braunschweig	14	6	3	5	+2	21
11	Hannover	14	6	3	5	+1	21
12	Nurnberg	14	6	2	6	-1	20
13	Regensburg	14	4	6	4	-6	18
14	Bielefeld	14	5	2	7	+1	17
15	Holstein Kiel	13	4	4	5	+2	16
16	Magdeburg	13	4	3	6	-3	15
17	Sandhausen	13	3	3	7	-14	12
18	Hansa Rostock	14	3	1	10	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	13	8	2	3	+6	26
2	Hamburg	13	7	3	3	+5	24
3	Heidenheim	14	5	6	3	+4	21
4	Holstein Kiel	14	5	6	3	-1	21
5	Kaiserslautern	14	5	4	5	+1	19
6	St Pauli	14	5	3	6	+0	18
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	5	2	7	-3	17
8	Magdeburg	14	5	2	7	-8	17
9	Paderborn	14	4	4	6	-2	16
10	Karlsruhe	13	4	3	6	-1	15
11	Hansa Rostock	13	4	3	6	-8	15
12	Hannover	14	3	4	7	-7	13
13	Bielefeld	13	3	3	7	-5	12
14	Nurnberg	13	2	4	7	-15	10
15	Greuther Furth	14	2	3	9	-9	9
16	Regensburg	14	3	0	11	-11	9
17	Sandhausen	14	2	3	9	-12	9
18	Braunschweig	13	1	5	7	-14	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.