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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Bauer
Elversberg
T T S S S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
71%
71%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elversberg 10. · Greuther Furth 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 8 4 4 0 +8 16
2 Hamburg 8 5 1 2 +7 16
3 Hannover 8 4 3 1 +11 15
4 Holstein Kiel 8 5 0 3 +0 15
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 4 2 2 +8 14
6 Kaiserslautern 7 4 1 2 +2 13
7 Magdeburg 7 3 3 1 +4 12
8 Hansa Rostock 8 4 0 4 -2 12
9 Paderborn 8 3 2 3 -3 11
10 Elversberg 7 3 1 3 -3 10
11 Hertha 8 3 0 5 +1 9
12 Nurnberg 7 2 3 2 -2 9
13 Greuther Furth 7 2 2 3 -2 8
14 Karlsruhe 8 2 2 4 -3 8
15 Wehen 8 2 2 4 -4 8
16 Schalke 04 8 2 1 5 -5 7
17 Braunschweig 8 1 2 5 -7 5
18 Osnabruck 7 1 1 5 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elversberg Greuther Furth
1–0 M. Feil
L. Schnellbacher
9′
14′
B. Hrgota 1–1
R. Wagner
S. Şahin 🔁
↦ F. Jäkel
36′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 O. Haddadi
↦ G. Itter
56′
🔁 L. Petkov
↦ R. Wagner
67′
🔁 A. Sieb
↦ T. Lemperle
P. Wanner 🔁
↦ M. Feil
68′
73′
🟨 Orestis Kiomourtzoglou
Jannik Rochelt 🟨
74′
81′
🔁 M. Dietz
↦ G. Jung
82′
🔁 J. Consbruch
↦ D. Abiama
A. Sicker 🔁
↦ J. Rochelt
87′
D. Martinović 🔁
↦ P. Stock
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
18 H. Vandermersch D
5 F. Jäkel D
4 K. Conrad D
33 M. Neubauer D
31 T. Jacobsen M
23 C. Sickinger M
7 M. Feil M
21 P. Stock M
10 J. Rochelt M
24 L. Schnellbacher F
Bench (9)
8 S. Şahin
17 P. Wanner
26 A. Sicker
9 D. Martinović
28 T. Boss
11 L. Dürholtz
22 J. Boyamba
35 N. Antonitsch
14 R. Fellhauer

Coach: H. Steffen

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
40 J. Urbig G
23 G. Jung D
4 D. Michalski D
27 G. Itter D
2 S. Asta M
13 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
22 R. Wagner M
17 N. Gießelmann M
10 B. Hrgota F
11 D. Abiama F
19 T. Lemperle F
Bench (9)
5 O. Haddadi
16 L. Petkov
30 A. Sieb
33 M. Dietz
14 J. Consbruch
7 D. Srbeny
25 L. Schaffran
3 O. Mhamdi
1 A. Linde

Coach: A. Zorniger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U ✓
3,75
B
2,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Bauer · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.