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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Burda
Hamburg
S U U S T
2–1
Full-time
Braunschweig
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Braunschweig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
54%
15%
Points per game
1,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 2. · Braunschweig 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 13 7 6 0 +15 27
2 Hamburg 13 7 3 3 +9 24
3 Holstein Kiel 13 7 2 4 +2 23
4 Hannover 13 6 4 3 +11 22
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 13 6 3 4 +9 21
6 Greuther Furth 13 6 3 4 +4 21
7 Wehen 13 6 3 4 +2 21
8 Nurnberg 13 6 3 4 +0 21
9 Elversberg 13 6 3 4 +0 21
10 Kaiserslautern 13 5 3 5 +0 18
11 Paderborn 13 5 3 5 -2 18
12 Hertha 13 5 2 6 +2 17
13 Hansa Rostock 13 5 1 7 -5 16
14 Magdeburg 13 3 4 6 -2 13
15 Karlsruhe 13 3 4 6 -4 13
16 Schalke 04 13 4 1 8 -8 13
17 Braunschweig 13 2 2 9 -16 8
18 Osnabruck 13 1 4 8 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Braunschweig
1–0 Guilherme Ramos
J. Dompé
25′
2–0 I. Pherai
R. Glatzel
26′
Bakery Jatta ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
36′
43′
🔁 H. Kuruçay
↦ S. Decarli
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 R. Krauße
↦ J. Nikolaou
55′
🟨 Fabio Kaufmann
62′
F. Kaufmann 2–1
Þ. Helgason
R. Königsdörffer 🔁
↦ J. Dompé
63′
63′
🔁 S. Sané
↦ Þ. Helgason
63′
🔁 M. Multhaup
↦ F. Krüger
76′
ℹ️ Fabio Kaufmann
VAR: Goal cancelled
77′
🟨 Johan Arath Gomez
Ł. Poręba 🔁
↦ I. Pherai
78′
85′
🔁 K. Çalışkaner
↦ J. Gómez
Bakery Jatta 🟨
89′
A. Németh 🔁
↦ L. Bénes
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
2 W. Mikelbrencis D
13 Guilherme Ramos D
35 S. Ambrosius D
28 M. Muheim D
10 I. Pherai M
23 J. Meffert M
8 L. Bénes M
18 B. Jatta F
9 R. Glatzel F
27 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
11 R. Königsdörffer
6 Ł. Poręba
20 A. Németh
43 L. Seifert
19 M. Raab
46 E. Krahn
21 L. Öztunalı
3 M. Heyer
49 O. Stange

Coach: T. Walter

Braunschweig

3-1-4-2
1 R. Hoffmann G
5 R. Ivanov D
3 S. Decarli D
6 E. Bičakčić D
4 J. Nikolaou M
18 M. Rittmüller M
37 F. Kaufmann M
20 Þ. Helgason M
19 A. Donkor M
44 J. Gómez F
10 F. Krüger F
Bench (9)
29 H. Kuruçay
39 R. Krauße
24 S. Sané
7 M. Multhaup
36 K. Çalışkaner
8 K. Endo
23 D. Wiebe
33 S. Griesbeck
13 T. Casali

Coach: D. Scherning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,31
U
5,73
B
8,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,37
U2,5
2,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Burda · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.