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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
3–3
Full-time
Hamburg
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
50%
60%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
90%
50%
Both score Ø 70%
90%
50%
Average goals
3,9
2,9
Scored
2,1
1,9
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

37% Possession 63%
13 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 6. · Hamburg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 11 6 5 0 +13 23
2 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 6 3 2 +12 21
3 Hamburg 10 6 2 2 +9 20
4 Holstein Kiel 10 6 1 3 +2 19
5 Hannover 11 5 3 3 +9 18
6 Kaiserslautern 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 Hertha 11 5 0 6 +2 15
8 Greuther Furth 11 4 3 4 +1 15
9 Elversberg 10 4 3 3 +0 15
10 Paderborn 11 4 3 4 -3 15
11 Nurnberg 10 4 3 3 -3 15
12 Magdeburg 10 3 4 3 +2 13
13 Karlsruhe 11 3 3 5 -1 12
14 Wehen 10 3 3 4 -2 12
15 Hansa Rostock 10 4 0 6 -5 12
16 Schalke 04 11 3 1 7 -8 10
17 Osnabruck 11 1 3 7 -16 6
18 Braunschweig 11 1 2 8 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Hamburg
10′
R. Glatzel 0–1
B. Jatta
1–1 B. Tomiak
13′
2–1 M. Ritter
R. Tachie
24′
35′
🟨 Moritz Heyer
Half-time 2–1
Terrence Boyd 🟨
49′
53′
🟨 Immanuel Pherai
3–1 T. Boyd
T. Raschl
54′
62′
🔁 A. Németh
↦ M. Heyer
65′
R. Glatzel 3–2
J. Meffert
D. Hanslik 🔁
↦ M. Ritter
71′
A. Opoku 🔁
↦ R. Tachie
71′
73′
M. Muheim 3–3
R. Königsdörffer
79′
🟨 Miro Muheim
J. Niehues 🔁
↦ T. Boyd
81′
86′
🔁 L. Öztunalı
↦ R. Königsdörffer
87′
🟨 Guilherme Ramos
P. Klement 🔁
↦ T. Raschl
89′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

3-4-1-2
18 J. Krahl G
33 J. Elvedi D
5 K. Kraus D
14 N. Soldo D
8 J. Zimmer M
2 B. Tomiak M
20 T. Raschl M
11 K. Redondo M
7 M. Ritter F
29 R. Tachie F
13 T. Boyd F
Bench (9)
19 D. Hanslik
17 A. Opoku
16 J. Niehues
10 P. Klement
1 A. Luthe
27 L. Lobinger
31 B. Zolinski
37 E. Durm
23 P. Hercher

Coach: D. Schuster

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
3 M. Heyer D
13 Guilherme Ramos D
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
28 M. Muheim D
10 I. Pherai M
23 J. Meffert M
8 L. Bénes M
18 B. Jatta F
9 R. Glatzel F
11 R. Königsdörffer F
Bench (9)
20 A. Németh
21 L. Öztunalı
46 E. Krahn
19 M. Raab
35 S. Ambrosius
2 W. Mikelbrencis
47 N. Oliveira
6 Ł. Poręba
41 Omar Megeed

Coach: T. Walter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,98
U ✓
3,78
B
2,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,38
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.