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2. Bundesliga

Referee: R Schröder

Hamburg

S T T S U

2–0

Full-time

Greuther Furth

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Greuther Furth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

56%

33%

Points per game

1,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,9

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%

17 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

5 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Greuther Furth 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	9	5	4	0	+12	19
2	Hannover	10	5	3	2	+10	18
3	Hamburg	9	5	2	2	+7	17
4	Kaiserslautern	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Holstein Kiel	9	5	1	3	+0	16
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	3	2	+8	15
7	Elversberg	10	4	3	3	+0	15
8	Paderborn	9	4	2	3	-1	14
9	Magdeburg	10	3	4	3	+2	13
10	Hertha	9	4	0	5	+2	12
11	Greuther Furth	9	3	3	3	-1	12
12	Hansa Rostock	9	4	0	5	-3	12
13	Nurnberg	9	3	3	3	-5	12
14	Karlsruhe	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Wehen	9	2	3	4	-4	9
16	Schalke 04	9	2	1	6	-6	7
17	Osnabruck	9	1	3	5	-10	6
18	Braunschweig	10	1	2	7	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Kaiserslautern	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	St Pauli	5	3	2	0	+10	11
4	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+9	10
5	Greuther Furth	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Hansa Rostock	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Magdeburg	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Nurnberg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Paderborn	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Holstein Kiel	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Elversberg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+6	6
14	Schalke 04	4	2	0	2	+1	6
15	Wehen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
16	Karlsruhe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Braunschweig	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Osnabruck	5	1	1	3	-2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	4	3	0	1	+1	9
2	Elversberg	5	2	2	1	+2	8
3	St Pauli	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	2	1	1	+6	7
6	Paderborn	5	2	1	2	-3	7
7	Hertha	5	2	0	3	-4	6
8	Magdeburg	6	1	2	3	-1	5
9	Hamburg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Kaiserslautern	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Karlsruhe	5	1	1	3	-3	4
12	Nurnberg	5	1	1	3	-7	4
13	Wehen	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Hansa Rostock	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Greuther Furth	4	0	2	2	-6	2
16	Osnabruck	4	0	2	2	-8	2
17	Schalke 04	5	0	1	4	-7	1
18	Braunschweig	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.