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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Hamburg
T S S T S
4–2
Full-time
Braunschweig
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Braunschweig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 45%
65%
24%
Points per game
2,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

63% Possession 37%
16 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Braunschweig 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 18 11 6 1 +14 39
2 Heidenheim 18 10 6 2 +15 36
3 Hamburg 17 11 1 5 +10 34
4 Kaiserslautern 18 8 8 2 +8 32
5 Paderborn 18 9 2 7 +14 29
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 18 9 2 7 +7 29
7 Hannover 18 8 4 6 +5 28
8 Holstein Kiel 18 7 7 4 +3 28
9 Hansa Rostock 18 6 3 9 -8 21
10 Greuther Furth 18 4 8 6 -5 20
11 Nurnberg 17 5 4 8 -9 19
12 Regensburg 18 5 4 9 -12 19
13 Karlsruhe 18 5 3 10 -5 18
14 Braunschweig 17 4 6 7 -8 18
15 St Pauli 17 3 8 6 -2 17
16 Bielefeld 17 5 2 10 -5 17
17 Magdeburg 18 5 2 11 -14 17
18 Sandhausen 17 4 4 9 -8 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Braunschweig
1–0 R. Glatzel
M. Muheim
3′
2–0 M. Heyer
J. Dompé
17′
30′
F. Kaufmann 2–1
K. Endo
Half-time 3–1
3–1 R. Glatzel
J. Dompé
49′
Bakery Jatta 🟨
50′
L. Bénes 🔁
↦ R. Königsdörffer
64′
69′
🔁 L. Lauberbach
↦ K. Endo
79′
🔁 H. Kuruçay
↦ L. Gechter
79′
🔁 I. Pherai
↦ T. Bonga
79′
🔁 D. Wiebe
↦ R. Krauße
S. Kittel 🔁
↦ J. Dompé
80′
81′
D. Wiebe 3–2
J. Marx
4–2 L. Reis
L. Bénes
92′
N. Katterbach 🔁
↦ B. Jatta
94′
A. Németh 🔁
↦ R. Glatzel
94′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-2-3-1
1 Daniel Heuer G
3 M. Heyer D
34 J. David D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
14 L. Reis M
23 J. Meffert M
18 B. Jatta M
11 R. Königsdörffer M
27 J. Dompé M
9 R. Glatzel F
Bench (9)
8 L. Bénes
10 S. Kittel
33 N. Katterbach
20 A. Németh
7 F. Bilbija
16 Javi Montero
19 M. Raab
41 O. Megeed
2 W. Mikelbrencis

Coach: T. Walter

Braunschweig

3-5-2
16 J. Fejzić G
15 N. De Medina D
3 S. Decarli D
44 L. Gechter D
26 J. Marx M
37 F. Kaufmann M
39 R. Krauße M
21 K. Endo M
19 A. Donkor M
9 M. Wintzheimer F
13 T. Bonga F
Bench (9)
20 L. Lauberbach
29 H. Kuruçay
10 I. Pherai
23 D. Wiebe
8 M. Ibrahimi
22 E. Peña Zauner
1 R. Hoffmann
7 M. Multhaup
27 N. Kijewski

Coach: M. Schiele

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
4,48
B
5,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,31
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.