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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Ittrich
Hannover
T U S S S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 46%
43%
48%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
71%
48%
Both score Ø 55%
62%
48%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 5. · Greuther Furth 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 21 11 9 1 +19 42
2 Holstein Kiel 21 12 3 6 +9 39
3 Hamburg 21 11 4 6 +12 37
4 Greuther Furth 21 10 5 6 +7 35
5 Hannover 21 9 7 5 +12 34
6 Paderborn 21 10 4 7 +1 34
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 21 9 5 7 +14 32
8 Hertha 21 8 5 8 +5 29
9 Elversberg 21 8 5 8 -3 29
10 Nurnberg 21 8 5 8 -9 29
11 Karlsruhe 21 7 7 7 +0 28
12 Magdeburg 21 7 6 8 +3 27
13 Wehen 21 7 6 8 -2 27
14 Schalke 04 21 7 2 12 -9 23
15 Braunschweig 21 7 2 12 -12 23
16 Kaiserslautern 21 6 3 12 -9 21
17 Hansa Rostock 21 6 3 12 -14 21
18 Osnabruck 21 1 9 11 -24 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Greuther Furth
Fabian Kunze 🟨
15′
29′
A. Sieb 0–1
S. Asta
45′
🟨 Damian Michalski
Half-time 1–1
1–1 P. Neumann
E. Leopold
61′
M. Christiansen 🔁
↦ F. Kunze
63′
C. Teuchert 🔁
↦ L. Schaub
71′
2–1 N. Tresoldi
H. Nielsen
81′
84′
🔁 J. Consbruch
↦ R. Wagner
84′
🔁 K. Çalhanoğlu
↦ G. Jung
90′
🔁 D. Srbeny
↦ O. Haddadi
94′
🔁 L. Petkov
↦ T. Lemperle
94′
🔁 M. Meyerhöfer
↦ S. Asta
Y. Lührs 🔁
↦ N. Tresoldi
96′
A. Fóti 🔁
↦ A. Voglsammer
96′
Cedric Teuchert 🟨
101′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hannover

4-3-1-2
1 R. Zieler G
32 A. Voglsammer D
5 P. Neumann D
4 B. Arrey-Mbi D
20 J. Dehm D
8 E. Leopold M
6 F. Kunze M
10 S. Ernst M
11 L. Schaub M
9 N. Tresoldi F
16 H. Nielsen F
Bench (9)
13 M. Christiansen
36 C. Teuchert
34 Y. Lührs
24 A. Fóti
30 L. Weinkauf
31 J. Börner
29 K. Oudenne
17 M. Damar
28 M. Ndikom

Coach: S. Leitl

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
40 J. Urbig G
23 G. Jung D
4 D. Michalski D
33 M. Dietz D
2 S. Asta M
22 R. Wagner M
37 J. Green M
5 O. Haddadi M
10 B. Hrgota F
30 A. Sieb F
19 T. Lemperle F
Bench (9)
14 J. Consbruch
21 K. Çalhanoğlu
7 D. Srbeny
16 L. Petkov
18 M. Meyerhöfer
1 N. Körber
27 G. Itter
3 O. Mhamdi
13 O. Kiomourtzoglou

Coach: A. Zorniger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,52
B
3,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.