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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Storks
Hamburg
T S S T S
3–4
Full-time
Hannover
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 48%
55%
40%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
60%
70%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
10 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 2. · Hannover 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 20 11 9 0 +20 42
2 Hamburg 20 11 4 5 +13 37
3 Holstein Kiel 20 11 3 6 +8 36
4 Greuther Furth 20 10 5 5 +8 35
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 20 9 4 7 +14 31
6 Hannover 20 8 7 5 +11 31
7 Paderborn 20 9 4 7 +0 31
8 Karlsruhe 20 7 7 6 +2 28
9 Elversberg 20 8 4 8 -3 28
10 Nurnberg 20 8 4 8 -9 28
11 Hertha 20 7 5 8 +4 26
12 Wehen 20 7 5 8 -2 26
13 Magdeburg 20 6 6 8 +2 24
14 Schalke 04 20 7 2 11 -8 23
15 Kaiserslautern 20 6 3 11 -8 21
16 Hansa Rostock 20 6 2 12 -14 20
17 Braunschweig 20 6 2 12 -14 20
18 Osnabruck 20 1 8 11 -24 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Hannover
11′
N. Tresoldi 0–1
E. Leopold
21′
Guilherme Ramos 1–1
own goal
2–1 L. Bénes
24′
32′
L. Schaub 2–2
Half-time 2–2
D. Hadžikadunić 🔁
↦ S. Ambrosius
46′
3–2 D. Hadžikadunić
M. Muheim
47′
Dennis Hadžikadunić 🟨
78′
83′
🔁 A. Voglsammer
↦ L. Schaub
4–2 R. Glatzel
L. Bénes
86′
László Bénes 🟥
88′
László Bénes ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
88′
92′
🟨 Håvard Nielsen
92′
🔁 C. Teuchert
↦ N. Tresoldi
L. Reis 🔁
↦ J. Dompé
94′
A. Németh 🔁
↦ R. Glatzel
94′
98′
S. Ernst 4–3
S. Muroya
R. Königsdörffer 🔁
↦ I. Van der Brempt
103′
104′
🔁 J. Börner
↦ S. Muroya
Dennis Hadžikadunić 🟨
105′
Dennis Hadžikadunić 🟥
105′
105′
🔁 M. Christiansen
↦ S. Ernst
108′
🟨 Cedric Teuchert
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-3-3
19 M. Raab G
22 I. Van der Brempt D
13 Guilherme Ramos D
35 S. Ambrosius D
28 M. Muheim D
10 I. Pherai M
23 J. Meffert M
8 L. Bénes M
18 B. Jatta F
9 R. Glatzel F
27 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
5 D. Hadžikadunić
14 L. Reis
11 R. Königsdörffer
20 A. Németh
21 L. Öztunalı
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes
3 M. Heyer
6 Ł. Poręba
36 A. Suhonen

Coach: T. Walter

Hannover

4-3-1-2
1 R. Zieler G
21 S. Muroya D
5 P. Neumann D
4 B. Arrey-Mbi D
20 J. Dehm D
8 E. Leopold M
6 F. Kunze M
10 S. Ernst M
11 L. Schaub M
9 N. Tresoldi F
16 H. Nielsen F
Bench (9)
32 A. Voglsammer
13 M. Christiansen
31 J. Börner
36 C. Teuchert
17 M. Damar
24 A. Fóti
29 K. Oudenne
30 L. Weinkauf
34 Y. Lührs

Coach: S. Leitl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U
4,12
B ✓
4,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,46
U2,5
2,63
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Storks · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.