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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Exner

St Pauli

U U S S U

3–2

Full-time

Greuther Furth

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Greuther Furth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 53%

53%

Points per game

2,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

53%

42%

Both score Ø 55%

68%

42%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,6

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

58% Possession 42%

19 Shots 7

13 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 11

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 1. · Greuther Furth 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	19	10	9	0	+19	39
2	Holstein Kiel	20	11	3	6	+8	36
3	Greuther Furth	19	10	5	4	+9	35
4	Hamburg	19	10	4	5	+12	34
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	19	9	4	6	+15	31
6	Hannover	19	7	7	5	+10	28
7	Karlsruhe	20	7	7	6	+2	28
8	Paderborn	19	8	4	7	-1	28
9	Nurnberg	19	8	3	8	-9	27
10	Hertha	19	7	5	7	+5	26
11	Wehen	20	7	5	8	-2	26
12	Elversberg	19	7	4	8	-4	25
13	Magdeburg	20	6	6	8	+2	24
14	Kaiserslautern	19	6	3	10	-7	21
15	Schalke 04	19	6	2	11	-9	20
16	Braunschweig	19	6	2	11	-13	20
17	Hansa Rostock	19	6	2	11	-13	20
18	Osnabruck	19	1	7	11	-24	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	10	7	2	1	+13	23
2	Hamburg	9	7	0	2	+11	21
3	St Pauli	10	5	5	0	+13	20
4	Karlsruhe	11	5	4	2	+5	19
5	Hannover	9	5	3	1	+14	18
6	Kaiserslautern	10	5	1	4	+3	16
7	Holstein Kiel	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Hertha	9	4	3	2	+12	15
9	Magdeburg	10	4	3	3	+4	15
10	Wehen	9	4	3	2	+1	15
11	Paderborn	9	4	2	3	+3	14
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	2	4	+1	14
13	Nurnberg	9	4	2	3	-1	14
14	Braunschweig	10	4	2	4	-3	14
15	Schalke 04	9	4	1	4	+3	13
16	Hansa Rostock	10	4	1	5	-3	13
17	Elversberg	9	3	2	4	-2	11
18	Osnabruck	10	1	4	5	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	10	6	2	2	+6	20
2	St Pauli	9	5	4	0	+6	19
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	5	2	2	+14	17
4	Elversberg	10	4	2	4	-2	14
5	Paderborn	10	4	2	4	-4	14
6	Hamburg	10	3	4	3	+1	13
7	Nurnberg	10	4	1	5	-8	13
8	Greuther Furth	9	3	3	3	-4	12
9	Wehen	11	3	2	6	-3	11
10	Hertha	10	3	2	5	-7	11
11	Hannover	10	2	4	4	-4	10
12	Magdeburg	10	2	3	5	-2	9
13	Karlsruhe	9	2	3	4	-3	9
14	Hansa Rostock	9	2	1	6	-10	7
15	Schalke 04	10	2	1	7	-12	7
16	Braunschweig	9	2	0	7	-10	6
17	Kaiserslautern	9	1	2	6	-10	5
18	Osnabruck	9	0	3	6	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.