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2. Bundesliga
Referee: D Siebert
Schalke 04
S T T S S
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
75%
38%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
3,9
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
2,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 13. · Greuther Furth 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 16 8 8 0 +16 32
2 Holstein Kiel 16 10 2 4 +7 32
3 Hamburg 16 8 4 4 +9 28
4 Greuther Furth 16 8 4 4 +7 28
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 16 8 3 5 +15 27
6 Hannover 16 6 6 4 +10 24
7 Hertha 16 7 3 6 +7 24
8 Elversberg 16 7 3 6 -2 24
9 Paderborn 16 7 3 6 -3 24
10 Nurnberg 16 7 3 6 -7 24
11 Wehen 16 6 3 7 -3 21
12 Magdeburg 16 5 5 6 +3 20
13 Schalke 04 16 6 1 9 -4 19
14 Karlsruhe 16 4 6 6 -1 18
15 Kaiserslautern 16 5 3 8 -7 18
16 Hansa Rostock 16 5 2 9 -8 17
17 Braunschweig 16 3 2 11 -16 11
18 Osnabruck 16 1 5 10 -23 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Greuther Furth
Paul Seguin 🟨
18′
1–0 K. Topp
B. Idrizi
30′
Blendi Idrizi 🟨
33′
Derry Murkin 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Gideon Jung
50′
B. Hrgota 1–1
L. Tempelmann 🔁
↦ K. Topp
61′
67′
🔁 K. Çalhanoğlu
↦ O. Haddadi
H. Matriciani 🔁
↦ C. Brunner
72′
2–1 K. Karaman
D. Murkin
74′
76′
🔁 D. Srbeny
↦ A. Sieb
76′
🔁 J. Consbruch
↦ R. Wagner
77′
S. Asta 2–2
Derry Murkin 🟨
80′
Derry Murkin 🟥
80′
85′
🔁 L. Petkov
↦ G. Jung
85′
🔁 O. Mhamdi
↦ B. Hrgota
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-3-1-2
1 R. Fährmann G
27 C. Brunner D
26 T. Kalas D
35 M. Kamiński D
5 D. Murkin D
18 B. Idrizi M
7 P. Seguin M
29 T. Mohr M
19 K. Karaman M
9 S. Terodde F
42 K. Topp F
Bench (9)
10 L. Tempelmann
41 H. Matriciani
46 N. Amadin
21 N. Tauer
28 J. Heekeren
2 T. Ouwejan
51 S. van der Sloot
14 S. Kozuki
25 T. Baumgartl

Coach: K. Geraerts

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
40 J. Urbig G
23 G. Jung D
4 D. Michalski D
33 M. Dietz D
2 S. Asta M
22 R. Wagner M
37 J. Green M
5 O. Haddadi M
10 B. Hrgota F
30 A. Sieb F
19 T. Lemperle F
Bench (9)
21 K. Çalhanoğlu
7 D. Srbeny
14 J. Consbruch
16 L. Petkov
3 O. Mhamdi
1 A. Linde
13 O. Kiomourtzoglou
11 D. Abiama
29 E. Prib

Coach: A. Zorniger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U ✓
3,56
B
3,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.