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LaLiga2
Referee: Iván Caparrós
Zaragoza
U S U S T
1–2
Full-time
Cartagena
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 31%
35%
27%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
19%
42%
Both score Ø 45%
35%
54%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

73% Possession 27%
20 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
7 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Zaragoza 12. · Cartagena 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 26 13 8 5 +20 47
2 Eibar 26 13 6 7 +12 45
3 Sp Gijon 26 11 9 6 +9 42
4 Ferrol 26 11 9 6 +3 42
5 Espanol 26 11 8 7 +9 41
6 Valladolid 26 12 5 9 +3 41
7 Elche 26 11 7 8 +2 40
8 Santander 26 11 6 9 +4 39
9 Burgos 26 11 6 9 +2 39
10 Oviedo 26 9 11 6 +9 38
11 Levante 26 9 11 6 +1 38
12 Zaragoza 26 9 9 8 +4 36
13 Eldense 26 8 11 7 -2 35
14 Mirandes 26 8 9 9 +2 33
15 Tenerife 26 9 6 11 -2 33
16 Huesca 26 6 10 10 -2 28
17 Cartagena 26 7 7 12 -10 28
18 Villarreal B 26 7 7 12 -13 28
19 Alcorcon 26 7 7 12 -13 28
20 Albacete 26 6 9 11 -9 27
21 Andorra 26 6 6 14 -13 24
22 Amorebieta 26 4 7 15 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Cartagena
11′
Darío Poveda 0–1
Iván Calero
18′
🟨 Tomás Alarcón
21′
🔁 Jony Álamo
↦ T. Alarcón
Maikel Mesa 🟨
41′
44′
🟥 Jairo Izquierdo
44′
ℹ️ Jairo Izquierdo
VAR: Card upgrade
Half-time 0–1
S. Bakış 🔁
↦ Iván Azón
46′
Germán Valera 🔁
↦ S. Mouriño
46′
56′
🔁 Alfredo Ortuño
↦ Darío Poveda
56′
🔁 Arnau Solà
↦ Jony Álamo
56′
🔁 Arnau Ortiz
↦ Diego Moreno
Toni Moya 🟨
58′
58′
🟨 Arnau Ortiz
68′
🟨 Arnau Solà
Akim Zedadka 🟨
70′
Manu Vallejo 🔁
↦ Francho Serrano
70′
Sergi Enrich 🔁
↦ A. Zedadka
70′
75′
🟨 Damián Musto
1–1 Alejandro Francés
75′
76′
🟨 Raúl Lizoain
Alejandro Francés 🟨
79′
80′
🔁 Gonzalo Verdú
↦ Arnau Solà
89′
José Fontán 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Zaragoza

5-3-2
25 Edgar Badia G
2 A. Zedadka D
15 S. Mouriño D
24 Lluís López D
6 Alejandro Francés D
20 Víctor Mollejo D
14 Francho Serrano M
8 Marc Aguado M
21 Toni Moya M
11 Maikel Mesa F
9 Iván Azón F
Bench (12)
12 S. Bakış
7 Germán Valera
19 Manu Vallejo
23 Sergi Enrich
3 Jair Amador
40 Hugo Barrachina
22 Q. Lecoeuche
13 G. Poussin
1 C. Álvarez
5 Jaume Grau
18 Fran Gámez
26 Alberto Vaquero

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Cartagena

4-3-3
13 Raúl Lizoain G
2 Diego Moreno D
4 Alcalá D
22 Kiko Olivas D
14 José Fontán D
23 T. Alarcón M
18 D. Musto M
6 Andy Rodríguez M
16 Iván Calero F
10 Darío Poveda F
20 Jairo Izquierdo F
Bench (10)
32 Jony Álamo
9 Alfredo Ortuño
33 Arnau Solà
26 Arnau Ortiz
5 Gonzalo Verdú
41 M. Cellou
35 Iván Ayllón
11 Juan Carlos Real
1 Tomás Mejías
48 Jhafets Christ

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,85
U
3,09
B ✓
4,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,80
U2,5
1,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iván Caparrós · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.