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2. Bundesliga

Referee: P Alt

Osnabruck

U T S S T

0–4

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osnabruck Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 28%

12%

44%

Points per game

0,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

56%

60%

Both score Ø 62%

60%

64%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,0

2,1

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

11 Shots 16

0 Shots on target 9

7 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osnabruck 18. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	25	14	9	2	+21	51
2	Holstein Kiel	25	14	4	7	+13	46
3	Hamburg	25	12	5	8	+10	41
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	25	11	7	7	+18	40
5	Hannover	25	10	9	6	+12	39
6	Paderborn	25	11	6	8	-2	39
7	Greuther Furth	25	11	5	9	+0	38
8	Nurnberg	25	10	6	9	-8	36
9	Karlsruhe	25	9	8	8	+7	35
10	Elversberg	25	10	5	10	-2	35
11	Hertha	25	9	7	9	+4	34
12	Magdeburg	25	8	7	10	+4	31
13	Wehen	25	8	7	10	-1	31
14	Schalke 04	25	9	3	13	-9	30
15	Kaiserslautern	25	8	4	13	-9	28
16	Hansa Rostock	25	7	4	14	-18	25
17	Braunschweig	25	7	3	15	-15	24
18	Osnabruck	25	3	9	13	-25	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	13	8	5	0	+17	29
2	Greuther Furth	13	8	2	3	+10	26
3	Hannover	12	7	4	1	+16	25
4	Hamburg	12	8	0	4	+10	24
5	Karlsruhe	13	6	5	2	+9	23
6	Schalke 04	13	7	2	4	+7	23
7	Holstein Kiel	13	7	1	5	+3	22
8	Magdeburg	13	6	3	4	+7	21
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	3	4	+5	21
10	Hertha	12	5	4	3	+12	19
11	Nurnberg	12	5	4	3	+0	19
12	Kaiserslautern	13	6	1	6	-1	19
13	Paderborn	12	5	3	4	+0	18
14	Braunschweig	13	5	3	5	-2	18
15	Wehen	12	4	5	3	+0	17
16	Elversberg	12	5	2	5	-2	17
17	Hansa Rostock	12	4	2	6	-6	14
18	Osnabruck	12	2	5	5	-5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	12	7	3	2	+10	24
2	St Pauli	12	6	4	2	+4	22
3	Paderborn	13	6	3	4	-2	21
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	5	4	3	+13	19
5	Elversberg	13	5	3	5	+0	18
6	Hamburg	13	4	5	4	+0	17
7	Nurnberg	13	5	2	6	-8	17
8	Hertha	13	4	3	6	-8	15
9	Wehen	13	4	2	7	-1	14
10	Hannover	13	3	5	5	-4	14
11	Karlsruhe	12	3	3	6	-2	12
12	Greuther Furth	12	3	3	6	-10	12
13	Hansa Rostock	13	3	2	8	-12	11
14	Magdeburg	12	2	4	6	-3	10
15	Kaiserslautern	12	2	3	7	-8	9
16	Schalke 04	12	2	1	9	-16	7
17	Osnabruck	13	1	4	8	-20	7
18	Braunschweig	12	2	0	10	-13	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.