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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Hempel
Hamburg
T S T U S
1–2
Full-time
Osnabruck
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Osnabruck
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 31%
52%
9%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
61%
52%
Both score Ø 59%
61%
57%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
2,0
0,9
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%
13 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Osnabruck 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 24 13 9 2 +19 48
2 Holstein Kiel 24 13 4 7 +12 43
3 Hamburg 23 12 5 6 +13 41
4 Hannover 24 10 8 6 +12 38
5 Greuther Furth 24 11 5 8 +3 38
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 24 10 7 7 +16 37
7 Paderborn 23 11 4 8 -2 37
8 Karlsruhe 24 9 8 7 +8 35
9 Hertha 24 9 7 8 +6 34
10 Nurnberg 24 9 6 9 -9 33
11 Elversberg 23 9 5 9 -2 32
12 Magdeburg 23 8 6 9 +5 30
13 Schalke 04 24 9 2 13 -9 29
14 Wehen 23 7 6 10 -4 27
15 Kaiserslautern 24 7 4 13 -10 25
16 Braunschweig 24 7 3 14 -14 24
17 Hansa Rostock 24 6 4 14 -19 22
18 Osnabruck 23 2 9 12 -25 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Osnabruck
6′
L. Kunze 0–1
M. Cuisance
Ludovit Reis 🟨
26′
45′
🟨 Maxwell Gyamfi
Half-time 1–1
1–1 R. Glatzel
47′
47′
🟨 Immanuel Pherai
Ł. Poręba 🔁
↦ L. Reis
58′
J. Dompé 🔁
↦ R. Königsdörffer
58′
62′
🔁 N. Niemann
↦ C. Makridis
62′
🔁 R. Tesche
↦ L. Kunze
63′
🟨 Florian Kleinhansl
65′
🟨 Jean-Luc Dompé
72′
🔁 T. Androutsos
↦ B. Ajdini
76′
🟨 Maxwell Gyamfi
76′
🟥 Maxwell Gyamfi
78′
🔁 J. Wulff
↦ C. Conteh
78′
🔁 N. Wiemann
↦ E. Engelhardt
Łukasz PorÄ™ba 🟨
80′
A. Suhonen 🔁
↦ J. Meffert
81′
A. Németh 🔁
↦ B. Jatta
81′
Michaël Cuisance 🟨
82′
89′
M. Cuisance 1–2
L. Öztunalı 🔁
↦ N. Katterbach
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-1-3-2
19 M. Raab G
22 I. Van der Brempt D
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
4 S. Schonlau D
33 N. Katterbach D
23 J. Meffert M
18 B. Jatta M
14 L. Reis M
11 R. Königsdörffer M
10 I. Pherai F
9 R. Glatzel F
Bench (9)
6 Ł. Poręba
27 J. Dompé
36 A. Suhonen
20 A. Németh
21 L. Öztunalı
17 M. Okugawa
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes
3 M. Heyer
13 Guilherme Ramos

Coach: S. Baumgart

Osnabruck

4-2-3-1
22 P. Kühn G
5 B. Ajdini D
4 M. Gyamfi D
14 O. Diakhité D
3 F. Kleinhansl D
26 D. Gnaase M
13 L. Kunze M
17 C. Conteh M
27 M. Cuisance M
11 C. Makridis M
9 E. Engelhardt F
Bench (9)
7 N. Niemann
8 R. Tesche
2 T. Androutsos
32 J. Wulff
25 N. Wiemann
10 K. Okyere Wriedt
1 L. Grill
21 L. Lobinger
33 T. Beermann

Coach: U. Koschinat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,39
U
5,18
B ✓
6,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,34
U2,5
3,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hempel · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.